Will USDCHF reverse its course due to the new SNB's prospect?
Macro theme:
- Swiss inflation unexpectedly slowed to 0.6% in Oct—the lowest in over three years—raising expectations that the SNB may opt for a more significant 0.5% rate cut in Dec to keep inflation within its 0-2% target range.
- Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25% but issued a slightly more hawkish statement.
Technical theme:
- USDCHF broke the descending channel after testing both EMAs, which just golden crossed each other, indicating a bullish momentum exists.
- USDCHF may retest the broken descending trendline, confluence with the support level around 0.8693-0.8700 before resuming its upward movement to retest 0.8825.
- On the contrary, a closing below 08626 may prompt a deeper correction to a nearby support around 0.8550.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
- Swiss inflation unexpectedly slowed to 0.6% in Oct—the lowest in over three years—raising expectations that the SNB may opt for a more significant 0.5% rate cut in Dec to keep inflation within its 0-2% target range.
- Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25% but issued a slightly more hawkish statement.
Technical theme:
- USDCHF broke the descending channel after testing both EMAs, which just golden crossed each other, indicating a bullish momentum exists.
- USDCHF may retest the broken descending trendline, confluence with the support level around 0.8693-0.8700 before resuming its upward movement to retest 0.8825.
- On the contrary, a closing below 08626 may prompt a deeper correction to a nearby support around 0.8550.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
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