The risk-off trade has just gathered pace. A few moments ago, gold hit a new record above $3175 as the dollar sold off, with the USD/CHF dropping to its weakest point since 2015 and stocks extending their drop on lingering trade war concerns.
With risk appetite fading once again, the USD/CHF could be heading down to 0.8000 handle from here, should the breakdown below the key 0.8330-0.8375 zone (now key resistance) holds.
Although the latest US inflation data came in weaker, it doesn't seem to be the main driver behind the dollar’s renewed decline — the greenback was already under pressure before the figures were released. The persistent uncertainty surrounding the trade war continues to weigh on sentiment, keeping the USD/CHF outlook tilted to the downside.
After yesterday’s BIG relief-driven rally, markets are back well in the red today, with the S&P some 6% lower at the time of writing. While Trump’s 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs sparked short-term optimism, the broader picture hasn't improved much. The 10% blanket tariff is still in effect, and cumulative duties on Chinese imports have climbed to a steep 125%. With Beijing likely to respond, the situation remains tense.
Investor caution lingers as the US struggles to secure meaningful trade deals with other key partners, including the EU.
Safe-haven flows into the Japanese yen and Swiss franc suggest that market sentiment remains shaky.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
With risk appetite fading once again, the USD/CHF could be heading down to 0.8000 handle from here, should the breakdown below the key 0.8330-0.8375 zone (now key resistance) holds.
Although the latest US inflation data came in weaker, it doesn't seem to be the main driver behind the dollar’s renewed decline — the greenback was already under pressure before the figures were released. The persistent uncertainty surrounding the trade war continues to weigh on sentiment, keeping the USD/CHF outlook tilted to the downside.
After yesterday’s BIG relief-driven rally, markets are back well in the red today, with the S&P some 6% lower at the time of writing. While Trump’s 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs sparked short-term optimism, the broader picture hasn't improved much. The 10% blanket tariff is still in effect, and cumulative duties on Chinese imports have climbed to a steep 125%. With Beijing likely to respond, the situation remains tense.
Investor caution lingers as the US struggles to secure meaningful trade deals with other key partners, including the EU.
Safe-haven flows into the Japanese yen and Swiss franc suggest that market sentiment remains shaky.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.