Trend Analysis
Higher Time Frames: Confirm a broader bullish trend or at least an uptrend in the larger time frames (e.g., daily or 4-hour). If EUR/CAD has been making higher highs and higher lows, this confirms that the pair has bullish momentum.
Shorter Time Frames: A bullish reversal or continuation pattern on the 1-hour or 4-hour chart can provide the signal entry.
2. Support/Resistance Levels
Entry Point: Look for a clear support level where the price has reacted several times. This level may align with Fibonacci retracement levels (like 50% or 61.8%) from a recent up-move, reinforcing its reliability.
Resistance Target (80 Pips Up): If you see a nearby resistance level approximately 80 pips away from the entry, it offers a natural target zone. This could be a previous high or a strong Fibonacci extension level.
3. Risk Management
Stop Loss (25 Pips): Place the stop just below the last swing low or a minor support level, as long as it’s within 25 pips. Keeping it below a reliable structure means it’s positioned to withstand minor pullbacks while keeping risk limited.
Risk-Reward Ratio: With an 80-pip target and a 25-pip stop, the risk-reward ratio is about 3.2:1, which is ideal for setups with moderate confidence.
4. Momentum Indicators
Oscillators (RSI, MACD): An RSI reading around 40–50 in an uptrend (4-hour or daily) can suggest bullish continuation, while a bullish MACD crossover could further validate this.
Moving Averages: Price trading above key moving averages (e.g., 20 and 50 EMA) confirms trend strength and reduces the likelihood of a reversal in the trade.