This pair has been falling like a ton of bricks the whole of last week. I have a feeling this could change now, because:
- the area around 7.1800 has been a solid S/R zone for this entire year.
- The 200 dma is nearby too and could act as dynamic support.
However, I do need to see some evidence of bullish strength before I commit to a trade. For this is I will be monitoring price action on 4 hour and even the 1 hour chart, looking for signs that the bulls are gaining control. These signs can come in the form of double bottom, hammer or an engulfing candle formation.
For now this is a counter trend idea, so even if a setup forms, I would recommend an initial half position size. If this works out as per my expectation, we should have a +2R trade, with a possible extension to 4R.
Always use sound money and risk management and stay patient in all your trades.
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What do you think about this trade idea? Please comment and share your thoughts!!