USDJPY continued its upward trajectory on Monday
Updated
USDJPY continued its upward trajectory on Monday, consolidating above the 156.00 handle. Should this momentum pick up later in the week, resistance appears at 158.00, followed by 160.00. It's important to exercise caution with any ascent towards these levels, considering the possibility of FX intervention by Japanese authorities to bolster the yen. Such a move could quickly send the pair into a tailspin.
Alternatively, if selling pressure resurfaces and prompts the pair to reverse course, initial support is positioned at 154.65. While prices are expected to stabilize around this zone during a pullback, a breakdown could precipitate a swift decline toward 153.15. If weakness persists, attention could turn to trendline support and the 50-day simple moving average near 152.50.
Alternatively, if selling pressure resurfaces and prompts the pair to reverse course, initial support is positioned at 154.65. While prices are expected to stabilize around this zone during a pullback, a breakdown could precipitate a swift decline toward 153.15. If weakness persists, attention could turn to trendline support and the 50-day simple moving average near 152.50.
Note
Note
From a technical perspective, USD/JPY is trending neutral to bearish as more negative technical signals appear. This, coupled with the release of decelerating inflation, could put pressure on the greenback and push the pair lower. Momentum shows that sellers are dominant, paving the way for the next downtrend.Note
USD/JPY steady above 154.40 despite growing expectations of BoJ rate hike The yen extended its decline for the second straight session on Tuesday. Traders remain cautious ahead of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) policy meeting on Wednesday, which is likely to see the bank raise interest rates. The market is predicting that the BoJ could raise interest rates by 10bps to 0.1% and is expected to announce plans to cut its bond buying program.
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USD/JPY is down nearly 13% from its July peak and stocks are headed for a bearish market. Japanese government bond yields also dropped the most in two decades. The slide in bond yields weighed on banks' earnings, sending shares of Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, the nation's largest lender, down a record 21% during the session.Note
USD/JPY is trading below the 50-day and 200-day EMA, confirming the bearish bias. If USD/JPY recovers to 142.5, it will open up the possibility of testing the resistance area at 143.49. In case of overcoming the threshold of 143.49, buyers can push the exchange rate towards the next resistance mark at 145.89. It is important to note the impact of Japanese GDP figures and key US economic indicators. Conversely, if the exchange rate falls below 142, it could trigger stronger selling momentum, towards the support area of 141.03. The 14-day RSI is at 32.46, showing that USD/JPY may continue to fall to the 142 area before entering an oversold state.Note
USDJPY increased strongly after yesterday's decline. During today's Asian session, USDJPY recovered to the hourly MA100 line, and then broke above this level. That move boosted the buyers and that is the driving force for the upward momentum again today.Note
USD/JPY is testing resistance above 144.00
The summary of the BoJ's August meeting was released this morning, which is not new news as the information has already been priced in by the market. BoJ will be cautious in the next move to raise interest rates.
The yen weakened a bit. There are signs that USD/JPY is testing resistance above 144.00.
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The threat of Japanese rhetoric increases as USD/JPY breaks above 150
"Threat of verbal intervention increases as USD/JPY breaks above 150." This certainly has something to do with today's trading session, with USD/JPY up more than 150 points since Monday's Asian hour low.
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