If the Bank of Japan (BOJ) signals or implements an interest rate hike—moving away from its traditionally ultra-low or negative rates—the yen could become more attractive to investors seeking yield, thereby strengthening against the U.S. dollar. At the same time, if the Federal Reserve moves toward a more neutral or dovish stance, pausing hikes or even contemplating cuts in response to slowing U.S. economic growth, the dollar’s yield advantage diminishes. This combination of a relatively more hawkish BOJ and a less aggressive Fed would likely reduce the interest rate differential that has been supporting the USD/JPY pair, thus increasing the probability of a downward move in USD/JPY.
For retail investors I would suggest approach a cautious stand on short position and wait for confirmation from institutional money
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.