GBP/USD, AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY and USD/JPY on watch for me today.
Updated
GBP/USD:
• If price pushes up to give us a confirmed second top and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart.
• If price pushes up to give us a confirmed second top and the last part of the move is impulsive, then I'll be awaiting a subsequent convincing impulse down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
AUD/JPY:
• If price pushes down to give us a confirmed second bottom and then it pushes up to give us a confirmed second top and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart.
• If price pushes down to give us a confirmed second bottom and then it pushes up to give us a confirmed second top and the last part of the move is impulsive, then I'll be awaiting a subsequent convincing impulse down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
NZD/JPY:
• If price pushes down to give us a more horizontal pair of bottoms and then it pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then so long as the last part of this move up is corrective I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry after a phase line break on the one hour or the fifteen minute chart.
• If price pushes down to give us a more horizontal pair of bottoms and then it pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline then so long as this move up is impulsive I'll be awaiting an impulse back down below it followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
USD/JPY:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our higher time frame rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down below both it and the lower ascending trend line of the corrective channel to the left followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
• If price pushes up to give us a confirmed second top and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart.
• If price pushes up to give us a confirmed second top and the last part of the move is impulsive, then I'll be awaiting a subsequent convincing impulse down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
AUD/JPY:
• If price pushes down to give us a confirmed second bottom and then it pushes up to give us a confirmed second top and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart.
• If price pushes down to give us a confirmed second bottom and then it pushes up to give us a confirmed second top and the last part of the move is impulsive, then I'll be awaiting a subsequent convincing impulse down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
NZD/JPY:
• If price pushes down to give us a more horizontal pair of bottoms and then it pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then so long as the last part of this move up is corrective I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry after a phase line break on the one hour or the fifteen minute chart.
• If price pushes down to give us a more horizontal pair of bottoms and then it pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline then so long as this move up is impulsive I'll be awaiting an impulse back down below it followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
USD/JPY:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our higher time frame rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down below both it and the lower ascending trend line of the corrective channel to the left followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
Note
“Trading is not about being right or wrong. It's a probability game.” - Mark DouglasNote
“If most traders learned to sit on their hands 50 percent of the time, they would make a lot more money.” - Bill LipschutzNote
"The sooner you emotionally understand losses are part of the game, you’ll improve." - FalconFX
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