What’s Flowing: USD/JPY Analysis
Updated
Key Observations:
1. Price Action:
• USD/JPY has bounced from 148.65, showing signs of short-term recovery. However, the overall structure remains bearish with descending resistance levels near 150.30-150.50.
2. Technical Indicators:
• Moving averages suggest further downside pressure.
• Ichimoku cloud analysis highlights resistance in the 149.50-150.30 zone, making it a critical area for sellers.
3. Market Sentiment:
• Seasonal trends show a weakening dollar towards year-end, aligning with current selling pressure.
• Reuters and Dow Jones reports emphasize geopolitical influences and Japan’s policy stability driving yen strength.
4. News Highlights:
• Massive $1.4 billion option expiry today, with strikes at 147, 148, and 150, could add volatility.
• Recent headlines note importer buying interest near 146.50, setting up potential support levels.
5. Support and Resistance:
• Immediate support: 146.28 and 145.00.
• Resistance: 149.50, followed by the psychological 150.30 level.
Trade Insights:
• Bias: Short-term pullbacks may provide opportunities for selling rallies.
• Risk Management: Stop-loss near 150.50 for short trades. Profit targets near 146.50 and 145.00.
This week’s flow will likely hinge on U.S. economic data releases and further commentary from Japan’s BOJ. Be cautious of mid-week reversals.
1. Price Action:
• USD/JPY has bounced from 148.65, showing signs of short-term recovery. However, the overall structure remains bearish with descending resistance levels near 150.30-150.50.
2. Technical Indicators:
• Moving averages suggest further downside pressure.
• Ichimoku cloud analysis highlights resistance in the 149.50-150.30 zone, making it a critical area for sellers.
3. Market Sentiment:
• Seasonal trends show a weakening dollar towards year-end, aligning with current selling pressure.
• Reuters and Dow Jones reports emphasize geopolitical influences and Japan’s policy stability driving yen strength.
4. News Highlights:
• Massive $1.4 billion option expiry today, with strikes at 147, 148, and 150, could add volatility.
• Recent headlines note importer buying interest near 146.50, setting up potential support levels.
5. Support and Resistance:
• Immediate support: 146.28 and 145.00.
• Resistance: 149.50, followed by the psychological 150.30 level.
Trade Insights:
• Bias: Short-term pullbacks may provide opportunities for selling rallies.
• Risk Management: Stop-loss near 150.50 for short trades. Profit targets near 146.50 and 145.00.
This week’s flow will likely hinge on U.S. economic data releases and further commentary from Japan’s BOJ. Be cautious of mid-week reversals.
Trade active
EDIT: JOLTS CAME IN AT TARGET YESTERDAY*
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