Short USD/JPY – policy-divergence finally tilting in the yen’s favor as BoJ hawks talk rates higher and U-S data cool.
• BoJ hawks signaling further 2025 hikes while Fed easing bets build → policy-divergence flips JPY-positive.
• Break & close below 38.2 % retracement and 200-SMA (H4) turns momentum south; hourly / daily RSI roll-over.
• Geopolitics easing removes safe-haven bid for USD, but not for JPY (BoJ still seen hiking).
• Bearish trigger deepens if 144.30 confluence (200-SMA H4 + 50 % Fib) gives way → air-pocket into 141s.
• BoJ hawks signaling further 2025 hikes while Fed easing bets build → policy-divergence flips JPY-positive.
• Break & close below 38.2 % retracement and 200-SMA (H4) turns momentum south; hourly / daily RSI roll-over.
• Geopolitics easing removes safe-haven bid for USD, but not for JPY (BoJ still seen hiking).
• Bearish trigger deepens if 144.30 confluence (200-SMA H4 + 50 % Fib) gives way → air-pocket into 141s.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.