Will the USD/JPY exchange rate fall toward 142?

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During the European session, USD/JPY continued its downward trend, falling 0.52% on the day to 144.108, technically pressured below the 50-day moving average of 144.412. Meanwhile, news that the Japanese government is considering repurchasing ultra-long-term government bonds has triggered a repricing of the Japanese government bond yield curve, significantly increasing market volatility. The 144 level has become a pivotal battleground for bulls and bears. Two scenarios need to be watched out for: if the Bank of Japan (BOJ) delays policy adjustments and the Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance, USD/JPY may rebound to test 146; conversely, if the bond repurchases coincide with the BOJ extending its easing policy, the yen could stage a periodic rally to the 142 range.

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