Since topping at ¥156.77 on 14 May, short-term price action on the H1 chart for the USD/JPY has exhibited a downside bias. Of late, as you can see, recent flow chalked up a pullback from a low of ¥153.60 and has initiated the process of forming the D-leg of an ‘alternate’ AB=CD bearish formation at ¥154.95 (marked by a 1.618% Fibonacci projection ratio). The rationale behind selecting this alternate pattern, and not the 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio (or the equidistant AB-CD), is simply down to the confluence that the 1.618% Fibonacci projection attracts: a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratio at ¥154.97 and a nearby 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio at ¥154.81.