Potential Buy Stop at 104.980

48
Multi Timeframe Analysis

My trading philosophy: We don’t short at the lowest of the bearish momentum nor do we long at the peak of a bullish impulse. The safest entries are at the end of a retrace in the direction of the D1 master trend.

Monthly
The pair trended downward since July 2020 and started a retrace up on Jan 2021. The move to the upside faces formidable mostly resistance seen by the shaded areas beginning 105.880

Weekly

The pair had recently broken above the 10 period EMA on the weekly after a long bearish stint. It is currently ranging near M1 support. Counter trend line is forming

Daily

The pair had had been making impulsive moves to the upside and had just retraced to the 38.2% fibonacci at 104.920. As there is no strong D1 resistance we can expect the pair to move up

Recommendation

Monitor price action on the 4H chart for bearish ADX, MACD and the price over the 20 period EMA. Potential entry at 104.980. TP may be set at 100pips

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