“The victor wins first and then seeks his battle, while the defeated fights first then seeks his victory” by Sun Tzu
Next week US election, will definitely bring uncertainty and volatility to the stock market. Hence, risk management is inevitably crucial in investment. We will compile the politics of both parties and the influencing factors, as well as the prediction of the future market trend.
As for the election outcome, my partner and I have different perspectives and predictions, and due to the restriction of TradingView's house rule, as such, if you wish to know more about our different thoughts, please refer to our signature field for details.
Next week US election, will definitely bring uncertainty and volatility to the stock market. Hence, risk management is inevitably crucial in investment. We will compile the politics of both parties and the influencing factors, as well as the prediction of the future market trend.
As for the election outcome, my partner and I have different perspectives and predictions, and due to the restriction of TradingView's house rule, as such, if you wish to know more about our different thoughts, please refer to our signature field for details.
Note
First of all, we wish to explain that our purpose when sorting out these factors is not to demonstrate the pros and cons of each president candidate, but to express that these factors can be influential to the election outcome.For the below comment that about Biden’s scandal, this is the message that we attempt to deliver: if most of the US voters pay attention to the scandal, then the possibility of Trump winning the election is higher. Therefore, it is supposed to be up to investors to predict their winning candidate.
Note
"As for the correctness of scandal, we manage to have at least found a recent NBC news which questions the truth of Biden's corruption. So as to those bad news of Trump telling lies during his speech have been repetitively appeared in Youtube, are those news true as well?It is worth mentioning that Neflix documentary “The Great Hack” has been telling us that how manipulative and misinformative the social media can be. Therefore, the message we try to deliver is how the news be influential to the voters."
Note
About Covid-19, it mutates easily and has strong adaptability, not to mention the vaccine development progress doesn’t have a clear timeline yet. According to recent news, Qingdao and Xinjiang, China has discovered the mutated Covid-19, that is less aggressive, which makes it more difficult to detect the infection due to asymptomatic, and to control the pandemic.The economic recovery is surely going to take time, and we don’t think that the effect of this pandemic on the market will end anytime soon. Spanish flu that spread worldwide during 1918 - 1920 lasts for 2 years.
Note
As for our view of renewable energy, it is undeniable that renewable energy will be the core industry in the future. And according to data collected from ember.org, Europe renewable energy industry has grown 11%, and fossil fuel consumption has reduced 18%, their development of renewable energy industry is comparatively better than other countries. As such, which market do you think the investors keen to enter? US or Europe?Therefore, renewable energy development certainly brings positive effects. We believe our estimation that raise disputes is because of we have take in time factor, where this industry take times to develop. However, this does not simply prove that our view is wrong. If the renewable-energy-related tax incentives are unnecessary in developing the industry, then why US have to declare trade war against China, to criticise China government of their policies of offering lots of subsidies to domestic technology industry? The fact that China’s tech development is far behind than US a decade ago.
Trade closed: target reached
We believe the factors that we have pointed out are what the US voters will give thought about. If you have sort out all the factors, predict your winning candidate and the post-election market trend, you can then plan your own direction, which is better than careless investment.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.