During the last week we saw a strong bearish move on the pair, which then reversed and on the weekly chart formed a hammer candle which makes us believe that the downwards move was a retracement and the uptrend is still valid. From this candle we expect that bulls will gain confidence and continue uptrend move to test the Monthly R1 area. Price last week closed just above the Monthly PP area so we may expect that this area is now an area of support and this may be an additional incentive for bulls to kick in and give strength to USD.
Our market positioning for the USDJPY pair is bullish for as long as the daily candle is not closed below the Monthly PP. In case of a close below it, we will have to wait and see how price reacts to this area because then this area may be a strong resistance and we may have a change in direction of the move.