Despite the expectation that volatility in Forex markets should stay low due to most European markets still being closed for Easter, the FX:USDJPY nevertheless seems worth a deeper look.
The currency pair stabilised around 112.00 last week, only slightly below its current yearly high around 112.20.
This comes as a surprise after Gold finally broke its head-shoulder neckline last Tuesday, while 10-year US Treasury yields keep recovering from their 2019 lows of around 2.35% marked in March.
But with volatility in US equities dropping, and a data set from the Existing Home Sales today is expected to be strong (which seems definitely possible after last month's data, which indicated a surge of 11.8% from the previous month, to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.51 million in February of 2019 - making for the highest reading in eleven months, and the biggest monthly rise since December 2015), a break above 112.20 seems a serious option.
If this break happens and turns out to be sustainable, further gains up to 114.50/115 in the days to come becomes very likely, while only a drop back below the April lows around 110.80 would negate the bullish outlook.