USDJPY, Reacting below key resistance. Potential for drop

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Description:
Price approaching the Pivot at 104.085, where the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, 78.6% Fibonacci extension are. With price trending below the moving average and MACD under 0, it is possible to see a medium probability bearish move from the Pivot level at 104.085 towards our 1st support at 103.76 where the horizontal swing low and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement are. Otherwise, breaking above the pivot would see price swing towards 1st resistance and graphical overlap at 104.201

Pivot: 104.085
Supporting Points:
61.8% Fibonacci retracement, 78.6% Fibonacci extension

1st Support: 103.76
Supporting Points:
Horizontal swing low and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement

1st Resistance: 104.201
Supporting Points:
78.6% Fibonacci retracement, 100% Fibonacci extension and Horizontal graphical overlap
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