Short

USDJPY: What goes up.. Must come down. Massive Trading Lesson

Updated

Looking at the USDJPY will provide perhaps the most important lesson in trading you can find. Ascertaining what is Market value; what is a high price (and what your decision needs to be) VS what is a low price and what you should do.

The USDJPY is a classic example. Price has rallied for 22 months or so and the price has risen enormously. This is OVERSOLD and you can see how Traders (Who know what they are doing) have moved into the market and pushed it down. We called it and said this would happen because we looked at the market from a factual non biased perspective.

We also looked back to key price action levels to determine what further adds to the concoction (evidence) for a short.

Tie it all together and you get a fall you can take gains on. We can now look for further falls after price pops until we reach Price levels to get final exits, again using our knowledge of market value.

All in all, when trading any market, just do it factually. No stories. High price V Low. That's what works!

I hope that helps as always!

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Exit shorts as we fall to comfortable Early support

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After taking short side profits, look to RE short again so we can take gains on RE tests.

Use inference and See where traders are looking to short (based on where they did previously)

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Out again at second target for gains.

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Get RE short looking for intraday gains

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Exit again for profit.

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So now you’ve shorted 3X. You made money. Do not listen to the guys who buy highs... it can hurt!

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Exit all shorts and start to get lightly long for fast exits.

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Exit light longs for more gains.

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And BOOM down it goes... Now is the time to trade very lightly on longs. Do not Weigh in!

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Coming down to REASONABLE light support circa 139.650 if you are long it must be light

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Kill all shorts. Way down on the fall, early exits on longs taken.

Now as we fall stay up to date with UJ long zones

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Get lightly short again.

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Looking for short gains next week on early exits.

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Taking on light shorts. Further around 138.

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Hold off anymore entries until 138.00 area. This gives you key PA zones for short side trades following on from previous fall. Reflect on MACRO trend long term.

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Hold off shorts and do not fomo.

More comfortable resistance for front runners / mid size at 1376

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Get short now.

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Exit 40 pips gain.

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Only RE short on a higher push up.

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Another smash fall. Take short gains

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Looking to RE short on further rise (scaling in on early Entry CONF)

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massive fall exit for gains again.

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And another great UJ call. Slammed south..

Look for light longs and scaling in at key PA levels.

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Main Sentiment (market mood) update to follow:

Silicon valley banks, Inflationary measures / Rate changes.

SPIKING FEAR GAUGE.

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Look for light longs at key pre mentioned PA zones

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Looking for light longs at 131.75

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Still awaiting long zones circa 131.75

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Look to scale in light long.

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Exit any secondary Longs taken and exit any former longs taken.

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exit longs look short nearer 1.3455

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There is room for LIGHT shorts but far more feasible higher up.

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Also room now for very light longs and early exits alike.

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UJ showing WEAK PA.

Risk Averse Longs come in line with 100 MA on W chart circa 125

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Exit light longs taken. Risk averse for new longs remains on harsher fall as described ^

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Short Side LOW market Value Long side is WEAK.

Hold off shorts until further up and longs until further down it is a no trade.

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Risky Scalp market do NOT jump in with boredom. 126 and 134 respectively for longs and shorts RISK AVERSE

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USDJPY weakness showing. Do not fomo and lump in you have ZERO key PA and zero sentiment.

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Still looking slightly higher for shorts 134

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NOTE Risk Averse TGT shorts 13765

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Note weak longside PA. Looking for further falls to risk averse zones @ 126

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Scalpers market / TINY risk trades applicable here until we reach significant levels up or down (1377 1260)

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UJ still very boring. Looking for impulsive move and action.

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And still lacking Movement, this is when market becomes a scalpers market. Its OK to let markets move sometimes because you will put risk up otherwise.

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Get short

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Out on the fall

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Usdjpy smoked again exit all shorts

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Hold off re shorts

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Light longs appropriate

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Out all longs shorts coming 1.4

WillSebastian

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