Short

Updated

BTC may dip a second time in 2021

BTC may dip a 2nd time in 2021 by an estimated 39%; then increase as it has during 08-2021. However, there may be a third decline as time passed further away from the 05-11-2020 halving cycle.

Note

The white lines are the BTC halving cycles. It appears that BTC may peak around 9-11 to 10-10 of 2021; based off of the past distance from the halving cycles. The M-shaped curve may see a second peak of around 51k to 76k with a midpoint of around 66.6k.

BTC may peak by October 1, 2021 - halving cycles marked

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This chart is easier to see:

Alternative view of the BTC halving cycles with estimated peaks

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BTC is likely to decline over the next 12 months. However, after an estimate 2022-09-11 date, it is very likely to being increasing based off off the extended long-run historical data and trend.

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BTC & TOTAL Market Cap may double from 2021-10-31 to 2022-02-31

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BTC may remain around 63.6k within 33 days; based off of the: 30m view; EMA ribbon.

BTC 63.6k within 33 days: 30m view; EMA ribbon

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BTC 103k by 2022-01-24 on the 3h view

BTC may see 103k by 2022-01-24. This is the 3h view; followed by a short decrease period (around 2022-02-15 or 2022-03-27 or 2022-04-20) of up to 19% after peaking.

Today is March 26, 2021 on the November 20, 2021 trend (see next two charts below).

On the chart below, BTC is measured in USDT & the "ZEC+ZEN+TRX+ETC" is measured in BTC.

2020-12-28 to 2021-12-23; View: "D". TOTAL (1,2,4) + BTCUSD + ETHUSD + ETHBTC

2020-12-28 to 2022-01-01; View: "D".
TOTAL (1,2,4) + BTCUSD + ETHUSD + ETHBTC + ETCBTC + TRXBTC + ZECBTC + ZENBTC + XLMBTC + JSTBTC + XEMBTC

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TOTAL & T5YIE (2020-01 to 2022-01)

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This may be a perfect forecast of BTC 3-hour (2021-05 to 2022-02) 103k by 2022-02-02.

perfect BTC 3-hour (2021-05 to 2022-02) 103k by 2022-02-02

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Deflation slowing BTC purchases (NOV 8th (weekly data) ); leading to a decline in BTC prices.

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BTC log 4-hour view 2021-12-15 to 2022-03-15; increase to $76k to $86k around 2022-03-15, then decrease during late March, April, & May 2022 to around $43k to $53k.

BTC log view increase to $76k 2022-3, decrease to $43k 2022-5

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This is a more conservative & much slower rate of increase BTC 2022 Q1, log view, daily, forecast.
2022 Q1 BTCUSD Forecast, log view, daily. $46k 2022-01-13; $56k 2022-01-16; $53k 2022-01-24; $66k 2022-02-16; $69k 2022-03-03; $53k 2022-04-04

$46k 01-13; $56k 01-16; $53k 01-24; $66k 02-16; $69k 03-03; $53

Note

BTCUSD monthly average: 2022-01 $52666 & 2022-02 $51555

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