On Friday (December 15), the price of crude oil traded near $71.90 / barrel in the US market, the depreciation of the US dollar, coupled with the rising market sentiment on the possibility of the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, and the International Energy Agency (IEA) to increase next year's oil demand forecast, is helping to support crude oil prices. During Wednesday's trading session, the market fell to its lowest point in nearly six months before turning around. Oil prices extended gains from the previous session on Thursday, rising 3 percent, surging on a weak dollar after the International Energy Agency (IEA) raised its oil demand forecast for next year. The IEA raises its forecast for global oil demand in 2024. In its monthly report, the IEA said world oil consumption would increase by 1.1 million barrels per day in 2024, up 130,000 barrels per day from its previous forecast, citing an improving outlook for the United States and lower oil prices. Lower interest rates lower borrowing costs for consumers, which boosts economic growth and oil demand. A weak dollar makes oil cheaper for foreign buyers. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday said borrowing costs would be lower in 2024 and a weaker dollar also boosted crude prices. On Thursday, the dollar fell to a four-month low after the Federal Reserve said interest rate hikes were likely over and borrowing costs would fall in 2024. Oil investors will head into 2024 with strong concerns about slowing economic growth and oversupply, while rising tensions in the Middle East could trigger price volatility.
Crude oil technical analysis: crude oil yesterday strong Yang rebound, the daily double Yang rebound, combined with the weekly line even after falling to the previous low point began to rebound into the cross K line closing signs, from the rebound space, has broken the previous weak. There are signs of bottoming out, constructing a small level of bottom rebound. Yesterday in the 69.50 line to do more successfully swept away the 71.0 target. Today's weekly line closed, after a strong rebound yesterday, today may be accompanied by a second step to confirm support. After the bottom of the 4-hour chart even rebounded, it hit the slight pressure at the upper track of the Bollinger Road, and it is also the resistance of the falling mouth 71.90, which is the previous falling high point, and yesterday's strong recovery but did not stand firm. There is still repeated confirmation in the short term, but 67.70 is a high probability of the short-term bottom support point, around the structure of the bottom rally above 67.70. The hour chart may be accompanied by the second step back, and the operation should be adjusted lower after the step back is stabilized. On the whole, the crude oil opening operation idea next week is suggested to mainly step back low, supplemented by a rebound high, above short-term attention to 73.0-74.0 line resistance, below short-term attention to 71.0-70.0 line support.