CFDs on WTI Crude Oil
Long
Updated

Oil 2022 Analysis

Previous analysis in 2021 was correct. Oil and natural gas are rallying for all time highs, fuelling inflation as an impact.

$90 dollar has now been hit and a test of the $100 psychological level is next (possibly followed by consolidation).

New target areas are:

Target 1: $100
Target 2: $107
Target 3: $114

After these targets are hit, only time will tell whether price will retest the all time highs of $147 - $150. However, a possible war with Ukraine/Russia may spike oil prices even higher....$150-$200

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Target 1, $100 was reached in the early hours of this morning following the confirmed invasion of Ukraine.
Note
All three targets (£100, $107 and $114) have been reached at a much faster rate than expected due to the war. This increases the probability of oil testing the all time high set in 2008, at $150 a barrel
Note
Price is currently at $125. If price closes above $140 by the end of March 2022, this will result in Oil possibly running to $150 and above. Possibly $200 as previously mentioned.

The sanctions on Russia begin at the end of March, so this maybe the catalyst, or missile attacks on oil/nuclear supplies.

Regardless, this appears to be the catalyst for an economic (bearish) supercycle....a great depression, possibly a reset of the financial system removing the dollar as the sole reserve currency.

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