For several months, we provided price rankings for USOIL, most of which were fulfilled already. The only price target we kept was 70$ per barrel, which was nearly hit last Friday when the price stopped at 70.10$ (just 0.13% away from the price target). With the price level nearly hit, it is time for us to step away from the market and reconsider the situation.
In our previous idea, we outlined how the price deviated too far from its moving averages (20-day SMA and 50-day SMA) and might be setting itself for the price retracement to the upside. After hitting a new low, that became the case for USOIL, with the price rising to 74.30$.
At the moment, we do not expect a primary trend reversal from bearish to bullish. However, we want to stay on the sidelines and avoid setting new price targets until the picture gets clearer. Until then, we will maintain a neutral position.
Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of USOIL. Yellow arrows indicate a new low at 70.10$ and retracement toward 20-day SMA in progress.
Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish (but showing signs of exhaustion) Weekly time frame = Bearish
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