Amid upside risks from Trump’s tariffs and downside pressures from policies favoring price cuts and overproduction, oil remains highly volatile, trading above key support levels while maintaining its broader downward trajectory from 2022 to 2025.
Critical support zones to monitor include $69.5, $66, and $64, which have acted as key rebound areas since December 2021. A firm close below the $64 support could accelerate losses toward the psychological $60 level and $55, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the 2020–2022 uptrend.
On the upside, the upper boundary of the established channel serves as strong resistance near $78. A sustained close above $80 would signal a potential shift in sentiment, eyeing $84, $89, and $95, which align with waves A, C, and E of the triangle pattern, marked by the highs of September 2023, April 2024, and July 2024.
Key events to watch: OPEC's monthly oil report Trump’s tariff announcements Fed Chair Powell’s testimony U.S. CPI report
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.