NSDQ100 oversold bounceback, The Week Ahead 03rd March '25
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The Nasdaq 100 (USTec) index maintains a bullish outlook, supported by its long-term uptrend. However, recent price action suggests a corrective pullback following the all-time high, bringing the index to a key technical support zone.
Bullish Scenario: The 20280 level (200-day moving average) serves as a critical support zone, aligning with the long-term rising trendline. A pullback towards this level, followed by a bullish bounce, could reaffirm the prevailing uptrend. Upside targets include: 21200 (key resistance) 21450 (50-day moving average) 21620 (20-day moving average) A strong rebound from 20280 could reinforce bullish momentum and set the stage for further gains.
Bearish Scenario: A confirmed breakdown below 20280 with a daily close beneath this level would weaken the bullish structure. This could trigger a deeper retracement, leading to downside targets at: 19990 (next key support) 19560, if bearish pressure intensifies A sustained loss of 20280 may indicate a broader correction, potentially shifting sentiment in favor of sellers.
Market Outlook: The 20280 level is pivotal—holding above this support will sustain the bullish trend, while a decisive break below it could signal extended downside risks. Traders should monitor price action and volume at this critical level to gauge the market’s next move.
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