uvxy headed for 1:10 revse split early feb. 2023

Updated
we are breaking out in spx daily, but are we at swing low in vix? contango is uvxy is matching what it nears as we head for high $4 range where it normally reverse splits 1:10. conveniently that puts us in the expected date range of early february. this VWAP strategy says we may be in for another long entry UVXY as we top out in es1! potentially around ftz 8, and above bands crossing bull by ftz 13.
Note
so when i look at uvxy short volume with adaptive cloud compared to vix it shows that were still in the downswing of volatility, and the upswing of spx technically
snapshot
Note
by the way im not sure how i botched it but i got the timing noteably off... obviously we havent split either... i dont claim to have inside knowledge here. we will just have to wait and see. visit the proshares website for more info.
Note
if were not getting big shorts spx we wont see continued longs vix
snapshot
heres the read on the leverage
Order cancelled
im not saying we cant still see higher prices uvxy but i felt i wasnt strongly wording how bearish it is... high 4S again.
Note
so... weve learned today that in a deflationary cycle after peak inflation to have too much deflation is worse than having not enough. hopefully that helps.
Note
good thing we erred on the side of caution 🧏‍♂️
Note
and yes, i understand that the rate is not the core level... im linguistically simplifying here
Note
heres the way im looking at front month vix futures
snapshot
Note
heres a look at what spy might do
snapshot
Trade active
shorting the 4hr to daily
Note
im expecting to be back up by march
snapshot
Note
usually when uvxy gets slammed to the downside right into the close while overall intermediate term outlook on spx is bear and the price is near r/s level or split is overdue like it is now if futures slip a little overnight we should pop up into the morning:
snapshot
interesting zones are $4.79 $4.82 $4.88 $4.94
Bearish PatternsbroadermarketBullish PatternsChart PatternscontinuationETFTechnical IndicatorsleverageSPX (S&P 500 Index)Trend AnalysisVIX CBOE Volatility Index

Also on:

Related publications

Disclaimer