⚠️ VIX Trade Plan – May 23, 2025
📊 Instrument: VIX (Volatility Index)
🎯 Strategy: Long Exposure via Direct Shares
📈 Confidence: 70%
📅 Time Horizon: 3–4 Weeks
📌 Technical & Sentiment Snapshot
Price @ Entry: $21.88
Chart Structure:
• M30 / Daily: Bullish – above 10/50/200 EMAs
• Weekly: Mixed, but showing upward bias
• RSI: Neutral to slightly overbought
• MACD: Bullish cross on intraday; flattening on higher timeframes
Volatility Context:
• VIX up +26.9% over 5 days
• Backwardation in VIX futures
• Elevated VIX/VVIX ratio hints at further fear pricing
Headline Risk:
• Geopolitical + macroeconomic uncertainty
• Trade war tensions and surprise policy risk driving implied vol
🔽 TRADE RECOMMENDATION
Parameter Value
🔀 Direction LONG
💵 Entry Price $21.88
🛑 Stop Loss $20.14 (–8%)
🎯 Target Price $25.62 (+17%)
🧮 Size 100 shares
🏦 Risk Level ~1.5% of account
⏰ Entry Timing Market Open
📆 Hold Time 3–4 weeks
🧠 Rationale Behind the Trade
All 5 models agree on a moderately bullish short- to mid-term trend in VIX.
Momentum is supported by:
Rising geopolitical risks
Backwardated futures curve
Technical setups across intraday/daily charts
Entry point near $21.88 gives strong R/R if VIX spikes toward $25–$27 range.
⚠️ Key Risks to Watch
VIX Mean Reversion: VIX tends to drop quickly if risk subsides.
Overbought Intraday: May cause short-term pullbacks even in a bullish context.
Headline Dependency: Any peace deal, central bank surprise, or good news may instantly crush implied vol.
Liquidity Spreads: Use limit orders on open — VIX ETPs (e.g., VXX, UVXY) can see wide bid/ask gaps.
🧾 TRADE_DETAILS (JSON)
json
Copy
Edit
{
"instrument": "VIX",
"direction": "long",
"entry_price": 21.88,
"stop_loss": 20.14,
"take_profit": 25.62,
"size": 100,
"confidence": 0.70,
"entry_timing": "open"
}
💡 If VIX holds above $21.50 with momentum, this setup offers asymmetric upside. Stop placement near $20.14 helps protect against false breakouts or mean reversion traps.
📊 Instrument: VIX (Volatility Index)
🎯 Strategy: Long Exposure via Direct Shares
📈 Confidence: 70%
📅 Time Horizon: 3–4 Weeks
📌 Technical & Sentiment Snapshot
Price @ Entry: $21.88
Chart Structure:
• M30 / Daily: Bullish – above 10/50/200 EMAs
• Weekly: Mixed, but showing upward bias
• RSI: Neutral to slightly overbought
• MACD: Bullish cross on intraday; flattening on higher timeframes
Volatility Context:
• VIX up +26.9% over 5 days
• Backwardation in VIX futures
• Elevated VIX/VVIX ratio hints at further fear pricing
Headline Risk:
• Geopolitical + macroeconomic uncertainty
• Trade war tensions and surprise policy risk driving implied vol
🔽 TRADE RECOMMENDATION
Parameter Value
🔀 Direction LONG
💵 Entry Price $21.88
🛑 Stop Loss $20.14 (–8%)
🎯 Target Price $25.62 (+17%)
🧮 Size 100 shares
🏦 Risk Level ~1.5% of account
⏰ Entry Timing Market Open
📆 Hold Time 3–4 weeks
🧠 Rationale Behind the Trade
All 5 models agree on a moderately bullish short- to mid-term trend in VIX.
Momentum is supported by:
Rising geopolitical risks
Backwardated futures curve
Technical setups across intraday/daily charts
Entry point near $21.88 gives strong R/R if VIX spikes toward $25–$27 range.
⚠️ Key Risks to Watch
VIX Mean Reversion: VIX tends to drop quickly if risk subsides.
Overbought Intraday: May cause short-term pullbacks even in a bullish context.
Headline Dependency: Any peace deal, central bank surprise, or good news may instantly crush implied vol.
Liquidity Spreads: Use limit orders on open — VIX ETPs (e.g., VXX, UVXY) can see wide bid/ask gaps.
🧾 TRADE_DETAILS (JSON)
json
Copy
Edit
{
"instrument": "VIX",
"direction": "long",
"entry_price": 21.88,
"stop_loss": 20.14,
"take_profit": 25.62,
"size": 100,
"confidence": 0.70,
"entry_timing": "open"
}
💡 If VIX holds above $21.50 with momentum, this setup offers asymmetric upside. Stop placement near $20.14 helps protect against false breakouts or mean reversion traps.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.