Long

Low vol due to Fed suppression, black swans await

Updated

Vol has been super low as the S&P has roared higher due to Fed not-QE. But there are black swans awaiting the complacent: hugely overbought major stocks especially Apple. Iran conflict re-flaring. Impeachment trial in Senate. The floor at this level makes the risk reward attractive.

Note

Is Corona Virus our black swan? VIX up on Friday.

Note

I rolled my active Feb VIX long from 12.70 into March for a discount at 17.20 booking profit and buying an extra month. Is it possible that this can turn into a major 2018 Vol type event?

Trade closed manually

Markets seem to have fully priced in Corona. Let's watch the price action, maybe even an opportunity to sell back into the fall.

infin0

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.