Inverted VIX: Ominous signal
Updated
This might be an interesting pattern to monitor. Lately the SPY has been outperforming inverted VIX, unlike what happened at the start of the 2016 uptrend, where we observed a shift from outperformance to underperformance.
The inverted VIX daily chart shows a daily downtrend is ongoing and suggests we'll see a 22.88% drop (22.88% jump in VIX) over the next few days. Considering NFP on Friday, this might not only happen sooner than forecasted, but might be a conservative estimate.
I'm holding SPY shorts (among other trades), and looking to hold for an extended period of time if we break under the monthly uptrend mode support in SPY. Keep close watch of this chart, and remember to keep position sizes safe, if you're holding trades over the weekend like I'm doing (considering NFP Friday).
Check out my updated track record here: pastebin.com/6CyyqnPT
If interested in my real time whatsapp alerts and swing trading newsletter, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: tradingview.com/chat/
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
The inverted VIX daily chart shows a daily downtrend is ongoing and suggests we'll see a 22.88% drop (22.88% jump in VIX) over the next few days. Considering NFP on Friday, this might not only happen sooner than forecasted, but might be a conservative estimate.
I'm holding SPY shorts (among other trades), and looking to hold for an extended period of time if we break under the monthly uptrend mode support in SPY. Keep close watch of this chart, and remember to keep position sizes safe, if you're holding trades over the weekend like I'm doing (considering NFP Friday).
Check out my updated track record here: pastebin.com/6CyyqnPT
If interested in my real time whatsapp alerts and swing trading newsletter, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: tradingview.com/chat/
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Trade closed manually
Breaking above this level invalidates the bearish equities thesis for now.
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