Pure technically we have seen the weekly VIX candle breach the Bollinger Band 6 times in the last 11 years with a syringe like pattern (more than 70% upside). In my opinion this pattern happens when people are in panic mode. 5 out of 6 times VIX dropped significantly within 6 weeks. The exception (rectangle shape) is the 2008 crisis. My SL will be set at the top of the syringe 62.37 (approx -25%). With a Risk/reward 1:2 my TP is 23.76 (approx +50%). IMPORTANT NOTE: PAST REWARDS DO NOT ALWAYS REFLECT THE FUTURE and because this may be more like a 2008 style pattern. DO NOT INVEST more than 20% of your free cash and be ready for a martingale ( set an alert and double down in the next huge spike)
Trade closed: stop reached
SL reached @62.37
Note
Opening a new position (martingale) with the all time high as SL (96.70) and 1.5-2x times the invested capital from the first trade. NOTE: This trade will not take more than 50% of my idle cash. DO NOT open this position on Margin.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.