Volatility - VIX Wyckoff Accumulation
Updated
Idea for VIX:
- VIX finally has touched pre-COVID levels. The debt and margin fueled recovery is complete.
- Markets hitting ATH's every day (nearly a record for days in a row).
- Yet every warning is flashing, market components are down, yet indices grind up on low volume.
- Liquidity is flowing out, tapering has already begun, global credit impulse is negative, and market breadth is collapsing.
- We are in the greatest asset bubble in history, and underlying conditions point to the greatest crash in history.
- The crash has been telegraphed. In hindsight, it will be unanimously agreed upon that it was obvious. They will wonder how anyone could have been bullish here.
- Such is the nature of the rally that a significant drop would create a bid-less market and mass liquidations.
- Operators like to bid up a market to sell into (creating blow-off tops), and vice versa, to shake out retail and make sure the market will absorb their entire order.
It is all being set up for a great flush.
Classic accumulation pattern.
Bubbles make their greatest gains at their end.
Speculate the trigger by mid July.
"Be fearful when others are greedy" - Warren Buffett
GLHF
- DPT
- VIX finally has touched pre-COVID levels. The debt and margin fueled recovery is complete.
- Markets hitting ATH's every day (nearly a record for days in a row).
- Yet every warning is flashing, market components are down, yet indices grind up on low volume.
- Liquidity is flowing out, tapering has already begun, global credit impulse is negative, and market breadth is collapsing.
- We are in the greatest asset bubble in history, and underlying conditions point to the greatest crash in history.
- The crash has been telegraphed. In hindsight, it will be unanimously agreed upon that it was obvious. They will wonder how anyone could have been bullish here.
- Such is the nature of the rally that a significant drop would create a bid-less market and mass liquidations.
- Operators like to bid up a market to sell into (creating blow-off tops), and vice versa, to shake out retail and make sure the market will absorb their entire order.
It is all being set up for a great flush.
Classic accumulation pattern.
Bubbles make their greatest gains at their end.
Speculate the trigger by mid July.
"Be fearful when others are greedy" - Warren Buffett
GLHF
- DPT
Trade active
Soon, soon: 
Trade active
coronal hole detected, Solar wind Jul 12-14Trade active
Aug 22, 2021"Once in a blue moon"...
Trade active
Bonds typically lead VIX spikes by a few days - weeks. Now there is the signal in bonds:Trade active
2M Call Volume 7/19. Historically, Call Volume on VIX > 1.5M leads to spikes a few days laterTrade active
This move in VVIX can be seen as the Wyckoff spring to begin the uptrend:
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.