Tax revenues in the past were a good indicator for a recession. However after the massive $10 trillion of added public debt loans $9 trillion in QE increasing the money supply by 43% this indicator may be correcting for distortion rather than giving us an actual valid economic signal.
However we should keep an eye on it as it is heading in the wrong direction. If tax revenues continue to fall it obviously means the economy is earning, producing and spending less. Thus Earnings per share will suffer as result along with the entire stock market.
However we should keep an eye on it as it is heading in the wrong direction. If tax revenues continue to fall it obviously means the economy is earning, producing and spending less. Thus Earnings per share will suffer as result along with the entire stock market.
Real Macro Economic Investing
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Real Macro Economic Investing
patreon.com/Realmacro
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.