WELLS FARGO ($WFC): Are They Gonna Send this Back to the 1800's?
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Depressing revenue and earnings predictions and a potential dividend cut aside, it is hard to justify shorting the big banks. Despite this, Wells Fargo's chart looks particularly bearish. While it is likely WFC will preform well in the future, it looks like for now this company founded back in the 1800's is about to get sent back to the 18.00's or lower. Given that, let's look for a short setup.
Resources: earningswhispers.com/stocks/wfc + marketwatch.com/story/wells-fargos-stock-sinks-further-after-jp-morgan-reiterates-bearish-view-amid-concerns-of-dividend-cut-2020-05-14
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1. Fractal Trend is showing a downtrend (Maroon bar color) on the Daily timeframe chart. This makes sense given how the big banks have struggled in terms of share price while dealing with COVID.
2. With this strategy, we are looking for short setups in a downtrend and as such want to enter short on retests of bearish order blocks plotted by Orderblock Mapping (Maroon) and/or bearish S/R levels plotted by Directional Bias (Maroon).
3. As you can see, we are close to getting a short entry from the strategy at R1. The goal here is to see a rejection of this level and continuation to the downside.
4. The target for this move is S2, although we will look for reactions at S1 and consider scaling a portion of our position off there to lock in profits.
5. We will exit this trade if our stop is reached or if Fractal Trend signals an uptrend (Aqua) while our trade is still open.
With all that said, it should be noted that a drop of this magnitude for the big banks represents a move not seen since 2009 back in the wake of the Financial Crisis. Thus, even though the setup makes sense, it also makes sense not to be overly aggressive with this short's position size and consider it more of an overall market hedge.
Like, Comment & Follow to help the community grow 🎉🎉
---
Depressing revenue and earnings predictions and a potential dividend cut aside, it is hard to justify shorting the big banks. Despite this, Wells Fargo's chart looks particularly bearish. While it is likely WFC will preform well in the future, it looks like for now this company founded back in the 1800's is about to get sent back to the 18.00's or lower. Given that, let's look for a short setup.
Resources: earningswhispers.com/stocks/wfc + marketwatch.com/story/wells-fargos-stock-sinks-further-after-jp-morgan-reiterates-bearish-view-amid-concerns-of-dividend-cut-2020-05-14
---
1. Fractal Trend is showing a downtrend (Maroon bar color) on the Daily timeframe chart. This makes sense given how the big banks have struggled in terms of share price while dealing with COVID.
2. With this strategy, we are looking for short setups in a downtrend and as such want to enter short on retests of bearish order blocks plotted by Orderblock Mapping (Maroon) and/or bearish S/R levels plotted by Directional Bias (Maroon).
3. As you can see, we are close to getting a short entry from the strategy at R1. The goal here is to see a rejection of this level and continuation to the downside.
4. The target for this move is S2, although we will look for reactions at S1 and consider scaling a portion of our position off there to lock in profits.
5. We will exit this trade if our stop is reached or if Fractal Trend signals an uptrend (Aqua) while our trade is still open.
With all that said, it should be noted that a drop of this magnitude for the big banks represents a move not seen since 2009 back in the wake of the Financial Crisis. Thus, even though the setup makes sense, it also makes sense not to be overly aggressive with this short's position size and consider it more of an overall market hedge.
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