Oil prices have been tearing higher since the start of November, rising more than 40% to return to far healthier levels.
The rally has started to slow though and with so much good news - vaccines, OPEC+ deal, US stimulus deal (almost) - now priced in, I wonder whether we're about to see a bit of a corrective move.
WTI has trended higher nicely, following the 55/89 period SMAs on the 4-hour chart and a break of this may be the first clue that it's run its course.
WTI peaked just above $49 today, entering what has been a major area of support over the last couple of years before becoming resistance in early 2020.
While a US stimulus deal would be positive for oil demand in the coming months, I wonder how much it is already priced in. It may give crude a small bump but would profit taking then kick in?
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