Silver (XAGUSD) is one of our favorite assets to analyze on the 1W time-frame, as a result of its high reliability of following long-term patterns. You can see a few examples of such successful trades we made using this time-frame below:
This time we have another major pattern forming on the 1W time-frame, an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S), a formation typically found on market bottoms that initiates trend reversals. Interestingly enough, the last two weeks have been ranged within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). This high volatility action can be an indication that a major move is approaching. Technically the IH&S patterns can target as high as the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. On such a large time-frame, this target is of course on the long-term.
On the shorter-term, we may be seeing the emergence of a Channel Up that aims inevitably at the 3 year Resistance Zone. We are technically at the start of the bullish leg towards that Zone, but a 1W MACD Bullish Cross can only confirm it. Once it does, Target 1 will be 28.750 (bottom of Resistance Zone) and when the Channel Up breaks, Target 2 will be 34.500 (just under the 2.0 Fibonacci extension).
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