Hey everyone,
I'm back with another update on Silver and Gold 🤓
A month ago I showed you how Silver and Gold might react in June and their movement wasn't too far from my expectations. Both Gold and Silver followed their seasonality direction for June (a bearish move). Now as we passed a week of July, Silver and Gold price actions suggest that they are willing to follow their seasonality pattern in July as well; if so, we will see a nice rally higher towards the upside targets I highlighted on the chart.
What will give us the confidence to stay bullish? The market remains positive on the September rate cut. For example, if the CPI number comes lower or equal to expectations this week, it can strengthen the market sentiment on a 0.25% rate cut in September.
How about the price action? Well, it's a bit tricky here, but for Silver, I can say a daily candle close above $32 and for Gold above $2432, is a strong confirmation for them to hit higher prices. Watch out for corrections these days, as they can be surprising and might be fast and sharp. But don't worry until we call these down moves a "correction" 😊. As we are bullish for the long term we see corrections as a buying opportunity 😉
What's the target? In the coming months, maybe July and August (we cannot time the market), in case of getting the above-mentioned confirmations, Silver can hit $36.4 and Gold can see $2580 and higher. Additionally, a DXY daily close below 104 would be a cherry on top of the cake.