Gold news analysis: On Friday (November 16), spot gold was last traded at $1,980.65 / ounce, up more than 2% from Friday's three-week low. While gold ended the week with strong gains, prices have retreated from Thursday's highs. Cooling inflation pressures and growing weakness in the US Labour market have led markets to start questioning the Fed's plan to keep interest rates in a restrictive range for the foreseeable future, which has given fresh impetus to gold. However, market sentiment is still not enough to push prices above $2,000 an ounce. While analysts remain bullish on the gold market as it enters a point of seasonal strength, some say new catalysts are needed for prices to reach their ultimate goal of record highs. At the same time, with little economic data due next week, investors are unlikely to get an accurate picture of the health of the U.S. economy. Markets will also be closed on Thursday for the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday.
While analysts remain bullish on the gold market as it enters a point of seasonal strength, some say new catalysts are needed for prices to reach their ultimate goal of record highs. The reaction of the dollar is driving the market today. The dollar ended the week down on dovish bets on the Fed, testing the edge of a four-month low. Weak inflation data and weak economic activity data in the US were the main reasons for the dollar's decline. The dollar weakened all week on expectations that the Fed would stop raising interest rates amid signs of inflationary pressures in the US economy and a cooling Labour market. While the Fed's aggressive interest rate stance has gotten a lot of attention in the markets, some analysts say investors should also keep an eye on its balance sheet as global financial markets become increasingly concerned about the size of U.S. debt. Next week, the Treasury will auction 20-year notes and 10-year Treasury inflation-protected securities. The two auctions followed last week's disappointing auction of 30-year bonds. Analysts point out that US sovereign debt is becoming less attractive as debt continues to grow. Investors continued to digest data reported this week. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the core consumer price Index (CPI) fell short of market expectations in October.
Gold technical analysis: Friday morning gold opened in the 1980 line, after the opening was supported, unable to break through the 1980 mark, but began to move higher, so gold rose directly to the 1986 line. However, after that, gold fell into a shock and could not break further. During the Asian session, gold fluctuated in the 1986-1982 range. By the European session, gold has risen further since 1982, thus strengthening the strength of the bulls. Gold rose all the way, breaking through the previous day's high in 1987, and further breaking through the 1990 mark. Gold's rally finally stopped at the 1993 line and began to fall back below 1990.
From the daily chart, the daily line has been oscillating between 1955 and 2000 between the cell for 3 days, broke a new high on Friday after 1987 began to step back, to cross the negative line, the daily high is constantly refreshed, the rising channel is intact, is expected to continue to oscillate up, from the average line, MA5 and MA10 form a gold fork, from the indicator, the Bolin with flat, Gold is running on the Bollinger belt track, from the indicator point of view, KDJ continues to turn up, MACD green kinetic energy column gradually reduced, all forms and indicators are bullish, so the short-term fall is still mainly, but in the upper 1993 region has not been broken before, can not blindly chase more.
Four hours from the point of view, the gold shock type rush, although there is no unilateral rise, but the overall high point moved up, the low point from 1950, 1975, 1987 continued to move up, the longer the consolidation platform in the rising market, the better the sustainability and strength of the rising wave. So for next week's operation, although gold is currently back to 1978, the bears have not yet further broken through 1975, and the future decline trend still needs to pay attention to whether there are unexpected events over the weekend. If the upper resistance level can break through the 1993 line, it will test the 2000 mark again, opening the door for further increases in gold prices. Below, if it breaks below 1970, it will test the 1955-50 support line. On the whole, gold today's short-term operation ideas suggest that the rebound is mainly short, the callback is supplemented by more, the short-term focus on the resistance of 1993-1998, and the short-term focus on the support of 1965-1960.