Can gold fall below 2400 next week? Why will gold suffer a sharp
Updated
Yesterday Friday, for yesterday, we must be how to operate how to make money, the morning 2450 wave is not to talk about, although then short meet stop losses, but I have said in the blog that 2467 can enter, this wave, before the data must be able to stabilize the victory, and non-agricultural gold since 2455 rose 2477, I also said, Not optimistic about gold break 2500, on the contrary is optimistic about 2480-2486 do not break batch short top, and I also said, any upside break, can hang reverse empty single defense, that is to say, yesterday's high, we can hang 2458-2448-2438 reverse empty single sit and wait for profit, especially yesterday gold also broke 2420 as scheduled, This point, although not as I expected to further impact 2400, but the difference is not big, after all, since the non-agricultural large profit, gold as scheduled to crash, this point, I can only hope that you did not do more, after all yesterday's market, do more is dead, but I believe that as long as you have read my blog carefully, will not be stupid to enter, if there is, Then all I can say is you deserve it. I will not say much, directly to next week's market analysis, you can read the following reference to understand.
-- Gold Friday market review --
Friday, the morning, gold opened 2446 line, open up 2447 line ushered in a shock fall near 2443, after a long and short saw-and-see encounter broke 2450, but the highest to 2452 line ushered in a halt reversal, gold is therefore directly hit the disc flash collapse of 2440, the lowest fell to near 2435 to usher in a stop, And then, gold is also ushered in a rapid climb to break down, has risen to 2459 line to usher in a stop, but good times are not long, gold fell back a wave of 2451 after ushered in a further break, near the eve of the European plate, gold is also the highest to a wave of 2468 line to usher in a stop. During the European session, the gold shock fell back a wave of 2459 to stop, long and short is therefore Mired in the 2465-2459 range of oscillations, until the eve of the United States, gold was further lower a wave near 2456. The United States market, non-agricultural hand in hand with the unemployment rate two-way announcement, gold is therefore directly from 2455 ushered in a surge to break 2460-2470, the highest to 2477 line to usher in a wave of stop flash collapse near 2455, and then rebound again after 2473 line ushered in a short outbreak, Gold is therefore below 2450-2440-2430-2420, the lowest fell to around 2411 to usher in a stop rally, and after recovering a wave of 2438, gold is also lower again a wave of 2423, and then further rose 2442, and finally, gold is therefore closed near 2441.
-- Can gold fall below 2,400 next week? Why will gold suffer a sharp fall in non-agricultural profits? -
So for Friday, presumably you are also very surprised, within the day, gold opened up 2452 crash fell 2435 stop, then in the white market performance caution, gold not only did not fall into the shock saw, but broke through to 2468 line, and non-agricultural, gold is directly from 2455 up 2477, At this point, presumably yesterday's bullish market retail friends have also increased, after all, as far as I estimate, yesterday's nearly 70% of people think that non-agricultural will be bearish, but these people also believe that once non-agricultural profits, then gold to break 2500, as for the remaining 30% of people, of which 20% are directly bullish, bullish gold broke 2500, Maybe only 10% of people with me in the bear, and the fact is to prove that the truth is in the hands of a few people, this point, just hope that you yesterday's bullish friends are still safely built in is, but it is estimated that yesterday's day gold rose, especially after non-agricultural profits, whether there is no chasing more, are extremely excited, In particular, after 2477 was blocked and 2455 stopped, gold gave the market a reason to chase more gold, after all, the United States labor downturn, excessive growth in unemployment, but also stable the possibility of interest rate cuts in September, this, do not blame you, after all, the information spread by the market is too obvious, in this case, let alone the market retail investors, even many analysts are easy to be misled by the market. So it's not that you can't do it, it's just the market. However, this also verifies one point, that is, your understanding of the market is not deep enough, especially in the face of this kind of news that informs the market in advance, your consideration is too single, if you have measures to deal with accidents, there is no possibility of major losses, this, you also need to introspect.
So for Friday, non-farm gains, why will gold suffer a reversal of the plunge? In fact, if you have carefully read my blog on Friday, you can understand, not to mention that I did not say in detail, after all, I was writing all night, long articles have been detailed analysis of the data, and also made a judgment on the fluctuations after the data, if this is that the analysis is not accurate, I have no words. So on Friday, I made it clear that regardless of whether non-farm profits are large or not, gold will encounter a sharp fall, but that if non-farm and unemployment rate are both bearish, it will increase the space and strength of gold's decline. For no other reason, the current data and news are affected by the progress of interest rate cuts, if it is said that the Federal Reserve interest rate minutes after the release of non-agricultural data, then the market may take into account the possibility of radical stimulus to the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, in this case, gold may suffer a surge on the break, but the fact is that the fastest rate cut will not fall until September, and now, No matter how strong the market expectations are, even if the rate cut in September has been nailed, there is still a month's buffer period from now, you say, how can this rise? A month in a row? Is that possible? And I said that gold is now too high, and once the interest rate cut falls, it also means that the market will be used to interest rate cuts, in this case, the impact of interest rate cuts on gold will gradually be reduced, because the market itself is now higher, including the Fed's efforts to cut interest rates and digest in advance, for example, You are looking forward to a certain kind of food or food, but after experiencing it once, the amazing feeling of treating things or food will also disappear, what's more, this interest rate cut is consistent, that is, you would like to eat this cake, but you can not carry it every day, so the current situation, if there is no accident, we will officially usher in a historic peak. And soon, we will usher in the possibility of the short return to 2000 or even lower, at most half a year, this, you can look forward to it.
So, on Friday, after suffering a sharp fall, why did gold stop at 2410 and close above 2440? Or, for next week, can gold bulls usher in further outbreaks? In fact, I still remain bearish, first of all, gold closed higher on Friday, in fact, more than the market is betting on the geopolitical risk may break out, leading to the emergence of early digestion of this information, in this case, even if the outbreak of geopolitical risk in the weekend, will not stimulate the possibility of excessive gold Monday, after all, the market has digested in advance. This is also the precautionary layout of the market. Moreover, for the moment, the US dollar has stopped falling, and the US dollar is also facing the possibility of stopping and recovering. After all, although the US labor market performance is sluggish and other factors have affected the strong performance of the US economy, the US dollar's performance is still relatively strong in the current international market, and in the case of the US dollar at a low level, it will also hope to pour in buying. That helped the dollar and hurt gold. Then secondly, that is, gold is currently too high, especially after the non-agricultural profits suffered a crash, in this case, the market buying will also begin to doubt life, thus hitting the buying heat, and after this wave of sharp falls, the market also understands the current situation of gold, in this case, gold is currently double top shape, any rebound, It will also relatively stimulate the influx of market selling, this point, for next week, only if there is no geopolitical risk to further stimulate the outbreak, gold must be able to fall below the 2400 mark, and this wave of break, short or will point to 2330 or even 2300, after all, the market believes that interest rate cuts will be more, It also leads to gold in the process of falling will attract the favor of the market, which also provides institutions with more opportunities to wash, in this regard, for next week, next week, I will think that the reverse collapse of gold will break one after another, of course, it is not that there is no bottom-diving opportunity, but for this opportunity, more may appear in the 2280-2260 area. Of course, this is only my guess, specific, you need to adapt to the line.
So for next week's operation, relatively simple, on Monday, if there is a low open, then you will be concerned about 2430 can directly fall below, do not break the short line to wait for a rebound near 2440 directly open short positions, of course, due to the market is not calm, do not rule out gold will further break 2440 higher possible, this, You continue to hold 2444-2450 do not break batch short. If there is a high open, then you are concerned about whether 2450 can be broken to stabilize higher, if the broken level is stabilized, directly hang a wave of 2450 under the anti-reverse short order and then wait for 2460-2466 region to be short in batches. If the market performance is calm, gold opens near 2440, directly open short positions in 2440, such as the rebound continues in 2450 not to break short, and for the below, you can hang 2430-2420 below the break short single defensive pursuit, you focus on 2405-2400 near support not to break again to consider the short term. Do not pay attention to the 2410 low mark, for the current market inertia, gold really want to fall, 2410 will definitely encounter virtual break, you are concerned about 2400 gains and losses, but note that 2400 can be chased after the break, but need to hang a wave of 2400 above the reverse multiple single to defend, after all, there is a wash in the market, coupled with the stimulation of geopolitical risk, Do not rule out the possibility of gold sudden reversal pull up, this, you remember to pay attention to. Of course, the analysis is only analysis, the specific operational details, I will be updated on Monday, you remember to strictly follow my requirements to control the position and stop loss basis.
-- Gold Friday market review --
Friday, the morning, gold opened 2446 line, open up 2447 line ushered in a shock fall near 2443, after a long and short saw-and-see encounter broke 2450, but the highest to 2452 line ushered in a halt reversal, gold is therefore directly hit the disc flash collapse of 2440, the lowest fell to near 2435 to usher in a stop, And then, gold is also ushered in a rapid climb to break down, has risen to 2459 line to usher in a stop, but good times are not long, gold fell back a wave of 2451 after ushered in a further break, near the eve of the European plate, gold is also the highest to a wave of 2468 line to usher in a stop. During the European session, the gold shock fell back a wave of 2459 to stop, long and short is therefore Mired in the 2465-2459 range of oscillations, until the eve of the United States, gold was further lower a wave near 2456. The United States market, non-agricultural hand in hand with the unemployment rate two-way announcement, gold is therefore directly from 2455 ushered in a surge to break 2460-2470, the highest to 2477 line to usher in a wave of stop flash collapse near 2455, and then rebound again after 2473 line ushered in a short outbreak, Gold is therefore below 2450-2440-2430-2420, the lowest fell to around 2411 to usher in a stop rally, and after recovering a wave of 2438, gold is also lower again a wave of 2423, and then further rose 2442, and finally, gold is therefore closed near 2441.
-- Can gold fall below 2,400 next week? Why will gold suffer a sharp fall in non-agricultural profits? -
So for Friday, presumably you are also very surprised, within the day, gold opened up 2452 crash fell 2435 stop, then in the white market performance caution, gold not only did not fall into the shock saw, but broke through to 2468 line, and non-agricultural, gold is directly from 2455 up 2477, At this point, presumably yesterday's bullish market retail friends have also increased, after all, as far as I estimate, yesterday's nearly 70% of people think that non-agricultural will be bearish, but these people also believe that once non-agricultural profits, then gold to break 2500, as for the remaining 30% of people, of which 20% are directly bullish, bullish gold broke 2500, Maybe only 10% of people with me in the bear, and the fact is to prove that the truth is in the hands of a few people, this point, just hope that you yesterday's bullish friends are still safely built in is, but it is estimated that yesterday's day gold rose, especially after non-agricultural profits, whether there is no chasing more, are extremely excited, In particular, after 2477 was blocked and 2455 stopped, gold gave the market a reason to chase more gold, after all, the United States labor downturn, excessive growth in unemployment, but also stable the possibility of interest rate cuts in September, this, do not blame you, after all, the information spread by the market is too obvious, in this case, let alone the market retail investors, even many analysts are easy to be misled by the market. So it's not that you can't do it, it's just the market. However, this also verifies one point, that is, your understanding of the market is not deep enough, especially in the face of this kind of news that informs the market in advance, your consideration is too single, if you have measures to deal with accidents, there is no possibility of major losses, this, you also need to introspect.
So for Friday, non-farm gains, why will gold suffer a reversal of the plunge? In fact, if you have carefully read my blog on Friday, you can understand, not to mention that I did not say in detail, after all, I was writing all night, long articles have been detailed analysis of the data, and also made a judgment on the fluctuations after the data, if this is that the analysis is not accurate, I have no words. So on Friday, I made it clear that regardless of whether non-farm profits are large or not, gold will encounter a sharp fall, but that if non-farm and unemployment rate are both bearish, it will increase the space and strength of gold's decline. For no other reason, the current data and news are affected by the progress of interest rate cuts, if it is said that the Federal Reserve interest rate minutes after the release of non-agricultural data, then the market may take into account the possibility of radical stimulus to the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, in this case, gold may suffer a surge on the break, but the fact is that the fastest rate cut will not fall until September, and now, No matter how strong the market expectations are, even if the rate cut in September has been nailed, there is still a month's buffer period from now, you say, how can this rise? A month in a row? Is that possible? And I said that gold is now too high, and once the interest rate cut falls, it also means that the market will be used to interest rate cuts, in this case, the impact of interest rate cuts on gold will gradually be reduced, because the market itself is now higher, including the Fed's efforts to cut interest rates and digest in advance, for example, You are looking forward to a certain kind of food or food, but after experiencing it once, the amazing feeling of treating things or food will also disappear, what's more, this interest rate cut is consistent, that is, you would like to eat this cake, but you can not carry it every day, so the current situation, if there is no accident, we will officially usher in a historic peak. And soon, we will usher in the possibility of the short return to 2000 or even lower, at most half a year, this, you can look forward to it.
So, on Friday, after suffering a sharp fall, why did gold stop at 2410 and close above 2440? Or, for next week, can gold bulls usher in further outbreaks? In fact, I still remain bearish, first of all, gold closed higher on Friday, in fact, more than the market is betting on the geopolitical risk may break out, leading to the emergence of early digestion of this information, in this case, even if the outbreak of geopolitical risk in the weekend, will not stimulate the possibility of excessive gold Monday, after all, the market has digested in advance. This is also the precautionary layout of the market. Moreover, for the moment, the US dollar has stopped falling, and the US dollar is also facing the possibility of stopping and recovering. After all, although the US labor market performance is sluggish and other factors have affected the strong performance of the US economy, the US dollar's performance is still relatively strong in the current international market, and in the case of the US dollar at a low level, it will also hope to pour in buying. That helped the dollar and hurt gold. Then secondly, that is, gold is currently too high, especially after the non-agricultural profits suffered a crash, in this case, the market buying will also begin to doubt life, thus hitting the buying heat, and after this wave of sharp falls, the market also understands the current situation of gold, in this case, gold is currently double top shape, any rebound, It will also relatively stimulate the influx of market selling, this point, for next week, only if there is no geopolitical risk to further stimulate the outbreak, gold must be able to fall below the 2400 mark, and this wave of break, short or will point to 2330 or even 2300, after all, the market believes that interest rate cuts will be more, It also leads to gold in the process of falling will attract the favor of the market, which also provides institutions with more opportunities to wash, in this regard, for next week, next week, I will think that the reverse collapse of gold will break one after another, of course, it is not that there is no bottom-diving opportunity, but for this opportunity, more may appear in the 2280-2260 area. Of course, this is only my guess, specific, you need to adapt to the line.
So for next week's operation, relatively simple, on Monday, if there is a low open, then you will be concerned about 2430 can directly fall below, do not break the short line to wait for a rebound near 2440 directly open short positions, of course, due to the market is not calm, do not rule out gold will further break 2440 higher possible, this, You continue to hold 2444-2450 do not break batch short. If there is a high open, then you are concerned about whether 2450 can be broken to stabilize higher, if the broken level is stabilized, directly hang a wave of 2450 under the anti-reverse short order and then wait for 2460-2466 region to be short in batches. If the market performance is calm, gold opens near 2440, directly open short positions in 2440, such as the rebound continues in 2450 not to break short, and for the below, you can hang 2430-2420 below the break short single defensive pursuit, you focus on 2405-2400 near support not to break again to consider the short term. Do not pay attention to the 2410 low mark, for the current market inertia, gold really want to fall, 2410 will definitely encounter virtual break, you are concerned about 2400 gains and losses, but note that 2400 can be chased after the break, but need to hang a wave of 2400 above the reverse multiple single to defend, after all, there is a wash in the market, coupled with the stimulation of geopolitical risk, Do not rule out the possibility of gold sudden reversal pull up, this, you remember to pay attention to. Of course, the analysis is only analysis, the specific operational details, I will be updated on Monday, you remember to strictly follow my requirements to control the position and stop loss basis.
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