Current Market Condition
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently in a consolidation phase, trading within a range between $2930 and $2891. At present, the price stands at $2909.50, indicating that the market is indecisive and awaiting a breakout.
On the Daily (D1) timeframe, XAU/USD has broken the previous uptrend, signaling a potential shift in momentum. The current price action suggests that the market is undergoing a retracement phase, and a deeper correction may be expected.
Bearish Scenario: Downside Breakout Expected
The $2930 resistance level has been tested multiple times, with strong rejection, confirming the presence of strong sellers in the market.
If XAU/USD fails to regain strength above $2930, it is likely to break the key support level at $2891 and continue its downward move.
Once $2891 is broken, further downside targets are:
Target 01: $2859
Target 02: $2834
These levels align with historical support zones and Fibonacci retracement levels, further supporting the bearish outlook.
Bullish Scenario: Breakout Above $2930
If XAU/USD gains bullish momentum and breaks above the $2930 level, buyers will take control, and the price may rally further.
The immediate upside targets in this scenario are:
Target 01: $2956
Target 02: $2980
Additionally, market sentiment remains highly bullish in the long term, with expectations that gold could test its all-time high of $3000.
Market Sentiment & Conclusion
The current sentiment in XAU/USD suggests a higher probability of downside movement, as long as the price remains below $2930. However, a breakout above this level will shift the momentum in favor of buyers, targeting new highs. Traders should monitor key levels closely and watch for confirmation before entering trades.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🔻 Support: $2891, $2859, $2834
🔺 Resistance: $2930, $2956, $2980, $3000