Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Analysis – June 13, 2025

2 025
🔍 Key Observations

Uptrend Structure:

Gold remains in a rising channel (higher highs, higher lows).
$3265 flipped from support to springboard for continued upside.
$3365–$3375 has held as a solid support zone.

Resistance Levels:
💠 $3400 – psychological barrier and channel resistance.
💠 $3480 – upper channel boundary, long-term target.
💠 $3490 – historical ATH, may trigger pullbacks.

Macro/Geopolitical Drivers:
Israel–Iran tensions and soft U.S. data boost safe-haven demand.
Central bank accumulation reinforces bullish case.

Bearish Contingency:
Failure to break $3432.57 (double top) could pull price down to:

🔻 $3384.83 – intermediate support
🔻 $3270.06 – final downside target

📈 Trade Setup – Bullish Continuation
📥 Entry Zones:

$3377–$3380 support area (pullback entry)

OR $3400 breakout confirmation (high-volume thrust)

⛔ Stop-Loss:
Below $3350 to guard against fakeouts

🎯 Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: $3444.75
TP2: $34458.44
TP3: $3472.14
TP4: $3490 (ATH zone)

📊 Risk/Reward:

Favorable 3:1 (e.g., risking $25 to gain $75 from $3375 entry)

🔑 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $3400, $3432.57, $3456, $3480, $3490

Support: $3384.83, $3375, $3340, $3319

🧭 Sentiment & Volume Cues

Bullish Confirmation:

Volume spike above $3365–$3400
Continued soft US data / geopolitical fear

Bearish Signals:

Weak breakout at $3432.57
Breakdown below $3384.83 with low volume

Summary
Gold maintains bullish structure. Look for long entries around $3375–$3384.83 or wait for a strong breakout above $3400. Use tight stops and monitor both technical levels and macro triggers.

🛑 Disclaimer: Trade with proper risk management. This analysis reflects technical outlooks and may change based on real-time events.
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🔹 Market Context:
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, fueled by geopolitical tensions (Israel–Iran, Ukraine), central bank demand, and cooling U.S. inflation. Safe-haven buying is pushing prices near the ATH of $3,500, with recent highs at $3,446.8.

🔹 Key Levels:

Support: $3,395 / $3,380 / $3,340

Resistance: $3,400 / $3,432.57 (double top) / $3,444–$3,456 / $3,500

Targets: $3,500 short-term | $3,600–$3,700 long-term

🔹 Technical Setup:

RSI: Overbought (61–66) → possible pullbacks

MACD & MAs: Bullish alignment

Volume: Rising above $3,365 supports continuation

🔹 Scenarios:

Bullish: Break above $3,400 → Test $3,444–$3,456 → $3,500 possible

Bearish: Rejection at $3,432.57 → Pullback to $3,380 or lower

🔹 Trade Ideas:

Buy the dip: $3,395–$3,405 → TP $3,425–$3,440

Breakout entry: Above $3,400 with volume

Short setup: Rejection near $3,444 → Stop above $3,456

🎯 Risk–Reward Tip: Aim for 3:1 ratio. Protect long entries below $3,350.

🛑 Watch for:

De-escalation in global conflicts

Surprise U.S. macro data

DXY rebound pressure

📌 Summary: Gold is bullish with $3,500 in focus. Pullbacks remain buyable above $3,380, but stay alert for shifts in sentiment or geopolitical developments.

📎 For educational purposes only. Use proper risk management.

Disclaimer

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