Gold Outlook: Navigating Rising Geopolitical Tensions and Mixed

40
Technical Analysis
The gold spot price recently tested resistance near $3,451, marking a significant swing high. Following this, the price has pulled back to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at approximately $3,353, which currently acts as critical support. The daily chart shows gold holding above its 50-day weighted moving average (WMA) around $3,250, with an upward sloping trendline reinforcing near-term bullish support.
If gold decisively stays below the $3,353 support, it may test lower levels near $3,293 and potentially the trendline support near $3,228. Such a move could signal a short-term bearish phase, driven by easing geopolitical fears or strengthening US dollar sentiment.
• Support Levels: $3,353 (61.8% Fib), $3,293 (100% Fib retracement), $3,228 (141.4% extension).
• Resistance Levels: $3,451 (recent high), with a possible challenge above to $3,500 psychological level.
Momentum indicators present a mixed picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is nearing neutral at 48, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The MACD histogram indicates weakening bullish momentum, while stochastic oscillators are trending lower but not yet in oversold territory, implying potential for further correction before resuming upward movement.
Conversely, a rebound above $3,451 could trigger fresh bullish momentum targeting $3,500 and beyond.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.