Can gold still rally?
Updated
In trading, we may have short-term profit goals, but long-term goals are built on the foundation of short-term profits. Without short-term profits, long-term goals are meaningless. Therefore, we need to balance short-term and long-term goals to achieve steady and sustained profitability.
After Powell's speech, gold continued its downward trend and hit a one-week low around $1809. The question of whether it will continue to rise is a concern for many traders.
I think there is an opportunity. First, the 50-basis-point rate hike in March is not set in stone. It is just a change in expectations. As Powell said, we need to pay attention to data, especially this Friday's non-farm payroll report. If employment data is weak on Friday, it does not support the Fed's continued high-intensity rate hikes. At that time, the expectation of a 50-basis-point rate hike will also cool down, and the gold price will rise accordingly. Secondly, from a medium to long-term perspective, I am still optimistic, because after multiple 50-basis-point rate hikes, the Fed's terminal interest rate is relatively high now, and it should be difficult to continue to raise rates by 50 basis points. Therefore, the big cycle will gradually slow down the rate hikes.
Overall, I think there is no need to be too pessimistic. Short-term adjustments will only make subsequent rebounds more powerful. There are many events this week, and the probability of continued volatility is high. It is expected that gold will begin to rebound next week.
For short-term trading strategies this week, we should first look at the support level of $1809 below, with the first target level of $1845 and the second target level of $1860. I will update the article with detailed price levels and trading directions based on the market situation. I also welcome everyone to express their opinions. Follow me to make trading simpler!
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The market is following the expected trend, stay tuned.
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