Gold market fundamentals:
The market believes that the Fed will definitely cut interest rates in September, but the uncertainty is whether it will be 25 basis points or 50 basis points.
The decline in U.S. bond yields and the low dollar index make gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies, providing some support for gold prices.
In addition, the geopolitical situation in the Middle East remains tense, which also provides safe-haven support for gold prices.
Technical aspects of the gold market:
With the rise of today's Asian and European sessions, the gold price is now above 2440 points, and the resistance of 2430-2440 has been broken. The nearest resistance above is the previous high of 2458. From the trend of the daily chart, the 4-hour chart and the 1-hour chart, it is an upward trend, so it is sufficient to continue to be bullish in the general direction. In the short term, due to the pull-up of today's Asian and European sessions, the price is at a high level. I think it is very likely to rise again after a correction in the short term.
Trading strategy:
I will not chase the rise today, but consider buying when waiting for the pullback support.
Support range: 2425-2435
Resistance range: above 2458
Daily risk data: US New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations in July
The market believes that the Fed will definitely cut interest rates in September, but the uncertainty is whether it will be 25 basis points or 50 basis points.
The decline in U.S. bond yields and the low dollar index make gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies, providing some support for gold prices.
In addition, the geopolitical situation in the Middle East remains tense, which also provides safe-haven support for gold prices.
Technical aspects of the gold market:
With the rise of today's Asian and European sessions, the gold price is now above 2440 points, and the resistance of 2430-2440 has been broken. The nearest resistance above is the previous high of 2458. From the trend of the daily chart, the 4-hour chart and the 1-hour chart, it is an upward trend, so it is sufficient to continue to be bullish in the general direction. In the short term, due to the pull-up of today's Asian and European sessions, the price is at a high level. I think it is very likely to rise again after a correction in the short term.
Trading strategy:
I will not chase the rise today, but consider buying when waiting for the pullback support.
Support range: 2425-2435
Resistance range: above 2458
Daily risk data: US New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations in July
Trade active
If there is no news stimulus on Monday, the volatility will not be too big. There is only one data released today, but the influence is not enough to get out of the unilateral market.If there is no correction today, I will definitely not chase the rise. If necessary, I will even choose to sell at a high point.
Of course, this requires further observation before making a decision. Now 2445 points is not near the resistance and support levels, so there is a risk in placing an order here.
When encountering such a swing point, try not to trade when you are uncertain, because once the direction is reversed, you may be trapped or stop loss.
(I hope these trading experiences will help everyone's learning)
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According to news reports, Iran is likely to directly attack Israel in the next few days in retaliation for the assassination of Hamas' political leader in Tehran. Influenced by this news, risk aversion surged, and the price of gold rose strongly by $20 in a short period of time.I just said that if there is no news stimulus today, the fluctuation of gold price will not be too large. I didn't expect the news to stimulate gold price to come so quickly.
Since it is the influence of news, the credibility needs to be questioned. Once the news is unreliable, gold is likely to take profits.
I still maintain my view and insist on not chasing the rise today to avoid some potential risks.
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If gold breaks the last support of 2430, it will really fall.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
If you want to get my thoughts on gold as soon as possible, welcome to join my channel
📣Free channel: t.me/Antony_TP
⚜️Copy Trading Contact me: t.me/AntonyTP
📣Free channel: t.me/Antony_TP
⚜️Copy Trading Contact me: t.me/AntonyTP
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.