XAUUSD Price Outlook – Bearish Setup in Play ??

117
Asset Overview
The chart represents a price action analysis with support and resistance zones, along with EMA indicators (50 and 200), likely on a 4H or 1H timeframe.

Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: ~3,400 to 3,450

First Support Zone: ~3,230 to 3,250

Second Support Zone: ~3,090 to 3,130

Indicators
EMA 50 (Red): Currently around 3,340, acting as dynamic resistance.

EMA 200 (Blue): Positioned near 3,232, reinforcing the first support zone.

Price Action Insight
Price had a strong uptrend, peaking above 3,440 before pulling back.

A lower high may be forming, suggesting possible trend exhaustion.

The current bounce appears to be a retracement back toward resistance or EMA 50.

Projected Move (As Illustrated on Chart)
Short-term bullish move into the resistance zone (~3,400–3,450).

Failure to break above resistance leads to sharp rejection.

Price retraces to first support zone (aligned with EMA 200).

If support fails, deeper drop expected toward the lower support zone (~3,100).

Strategic Notes
📉 Bearish Bias if price fails to break above resistance.

🔍 Watch for bearish candlestick patterns or divergences near resistance.

🛡️ First support aligns with EMA 200, making it a critical level for bulls to defend.

🔻 Breakdown below 3,230 opens room for larger correction to 3,100–3,090.

Conclusion
Currently, the chart suggests a potential short opportunity if price confirms rejection at resistance. The EMA cross structure remains bullish long-term, but momentum is weakening, and failure to reclaim highs could shift sentiment bearish in the short to mid-term.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.