GOLD (XAUUSD) SWING TRADE PLAN — MAY 15, 2025
1. Market Context & Technical Bias
Higher Timeframe (Daily):
• Price is currently respecting a long-term ascending trendline and a bullish
channel structure.
• Price has tapped into the demand zone near 3140–3160, aligning with the
bottom of the weekly bullish channel.
• Previous structure shows a consistent series of higher highs and higher lows,
suggesting continuation bias if support holds.
Key Observations:
• Price formed a potential bullish reaction after tapping the demand zone.
• There’s visible liquidity above 3350 and 3500, suggesting potential for a squeeze
or breakout rally.
• Target zone marked around 3500, just under the ATH and inside the upper
trendline.
⏱ 2. Lower Timeframe Analysis (4H)
• Descending trendline on the 4H is close to being broken.
• Price swept the liquidity zone around the 3140 level (psychological + structural
support).
• Fair Value Gap (FVG) at ~3200–3240 aligns with a likely retest area before
continuation.
• Reversal model expected: sweep of support → break of structure → retest →
continuation.
3. Trade Setup Details
Parameter Value
Pair XAUUSD (Gold)
Direction Long (Buy)
Entry 3154.50
Stop Loss 3139.50 (15 points SL)
Target 3264.50 (1st TP)
Lot Size 0.50 lots
Risk $750
Reward $5,500
Risk: Reward ~1:7.3
Time Horizon Swing (1–10 trading days)
4. Execution Plan
1. Enter long at 3154.50, ideally on bullish confirmation (e.g., 4H candle close
engulfing or breaking trendline).
2. Stop Loss below key structure and liquidity sweep at 3139.50, just outside the
demand zone.
3. First target around 3264.50 – just under mid-range resistance and reward target.
4. If price breaks 3264.50 with strength, trail stops aggressively toward 3350–3450
zone, and potentially ATH (3500–3520).
5. Adjust SL to breakeven once price reaches +30 to +40 points in profit (~3185–
3195).
5. Trade Rationale
• Confluence of trendline support, demand zone, and higher timeframe
channel.
• Price shows signs of liquidity sweep and bullish order flow re-entry.
• Risk is controlled with defined structure; reward is based on breakout
continuation.
• Strong upside potential with favourable RR ratio (1:7+).
6. Mental Checklist Before Entry
• Has price respected the 3140–3160 demand zone?
• Are bullish confirmations printing on 4H or 1H?
• Has the descending trendline been broken/retested?
• Is news or fundamental volatility expected today?
7. Trade Management Strategy
• Secure partials at 3200–3240 (FVG fill area).
• Lock in breakeven once partials are taken.
• Trail SL under higher lows on 1H/4H to capture deeper move.
• Monitor price behaviour around 3350–3450. If rejection occurs, secure further
profits.
1. Market Context & Technical Bias
Higher Timeframe (Daily):
• Price is currently respecting a long-term ascending trendline and a bullish
channel structure.
• Price has tapped into the demand zone near 3140–3160, aligning with the
bottom of the weekly bullish channel.
• Previous structure shows a consistent series of higher highs and higher lows,
suggesting continuation bias if support holds.
Key Observations:
• Price formed a potential bullish reaction after tapping the demand zone.
• There’s visible liquidity above 3350 and 3500, suggesting potential for a squeeze
or breakout rally.
• Target zone marked around 3500, just under the ATH and inside the upper
trendline.
⏱ 2. Lower Timeframe Analysis (4H)
• Descending trendline on the 4H is close to being broken.
• Price swept the liquidity zone around the 3140 level (psychological + structural
support).
• Fair Value Gap (FVG) at ~3200–3240 aligns with a likely retest area before
continuation.
• Reversal model expected: sweep of support → break of structure → retest →
continuation.
3. Trade Setup Details
Parameter Value
Pair XAUUSD (Gold)
Direction Long (Buy)
Entry 3154.50
Stop Loss 3139.50 (15 points SL)
Target 3264.50 (1st TP)
Lot Size 0.50 lots
Risk $750
Reward $5,500
Risk: Reward ~1:7.3
Time Horizon Swing (1–10 trading days)
4. Execution Plan
1. Enter long at 3154.50, ideally on bullish confirmation (e.g., 4H candle close
engulfing or breaking trendline).
2. Stop Loss below key structure and liquidity sweep at 3139.50, just outside the
demand zone.
3. First target around 3264.50 – just under mid-range resistance and reward target.
4. If price breaks 3264.50 with strength, trail stops aggressively toward 3350–3450
zone, and potentially ATH (3500–3520).
5. Adjust SL to breakeven once price reaches +30 to +40 points in profit (~3185–
3195).
5. Trade Rationale
• Confluence of trendline support, demand zone, and higher timeframe
channel.
• Price shows signs of liquidity sweep and bullish order flow re-entry.
• Risk is controlled with defined structure; reward is based on breakout
continuation.
• Strong upside potential with favourable RR ratio (1:7+).
6. Mental Checklist Before Entry
• Has price respected the 3140–3160 demand zone?
• Are bullish confirmations printing on 4H or 1H?
• Has the descending trendline been broken/retested?
• Is news or fundamental volatility expected today?
7. Trade Management Strategy
• Secure partials at 3200–3240 (FVG fill area).
• Lock in breakeven once partials are taken.
• Trail SL under higher lows on 1H/4H to capture deeper move.
• Monitor price behaviour around 3350–3450. If rejection occurs, secure further
profits.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.