Gold Technical Outlook: Bounce Likely Before Deeper Drop

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hello guys.

The recent price action on gold suggests a potential short-term upward move, followed by a possible continuation to lower levels based on key technical factors:

🔹 1. Channel Support Touched – Expecting a Bounce
Price has touched the bottom boundary of the ascending channel, which has acted as dynamic support throughout this trend.

This technical level often brings in buyers, suggesting we may see a relief rally or bounce from this area.

🔹 2. Targeting Upper Blue Zones
If this upward correction materializes, price could reach:

The first blue resistance area around 3,090 – 3,100.

Possibly the second zone near 3,120, which aligns with previous structure and minor volume resistance.

These zones offer ideal points for watching price reaction—either rejection for shorts or breakout confirmation.

🔹 3. Potential for Further Downside
If the price gets rejected from one of those resistance areas, we could see a move down to:

The low-volume zone below 3,000, specifically the support at 2,965.

The lack of volume profile in this area (as shown on the left) suggests that once price enters this zone, it can drop quickly due to thin liquidity.

📌 Conclusion
Short-term bullish: bounce from channel support targeting 3,090–3,120.

Mid-term bearish bias: If rejection occurs in resistance zones, anticipate a drop to 2,965 or even lower.

Watch for confirmations on lower timeframes to refine entry and exit points.
Trade active
snapshot

the pointed area touched
Trade closed: target reached
snapshot
The target of short position is touched!

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