The question isn’t whether gold is strong. The question is — will price expand, or rebalance?
🔸 Macro Overview
Gold begins the week consolidating just below its final HTF supply zone (3439), while USD weakens amid mixed macro data and growing speculation of future rate cuts. Markets await fresh catalysts, and gold’s recent impulsive rally is now facing the big test: break the wick, or pull back?
🔸 Weekly Structure & Bias
Element Observation
🔹 Trend Bullish continuation — clean structure
🔹 Last BOS March 2025 — impulsive, with imbalance below
🔹 Price Action Top wick rejection forming near 3439
🔹 Bias Still bullish, but entering exhaustion zone
🔹 RSI Above 70 — overheated
🔹 EMAs EMA5 > EMA21 > EMA50 > EMA100 — perfect trend
🔸 Key Weekly Levels (Zones + Confluences)
Zone Type Price Range Confluences
🔴 Supply 3350 – 3439 HTF wick supply + FVG + RSI 70+ + liquidity trap
🔵 Demand 3270 – 3215 Weekly OB + FVG + EMA21 support
🔵 Demand 3120 – 3070 Old BOS + deep FVG + psychological level
🟢 Support 3000 zone EMA50 + historical consolidation
🔸 Fibonacci Extensions (Above 3439)
Extension Level Price Target Confluences
1.0 (Swing Full) 3439 Supply wick high
1.272 3505 Next psychological milestone
1.414 3560 Mid-extension + liquidity
1.618 3610 Golden expansion target
2.0 3740 Full trend extension (max)
🔺 These levels serve as potential breakout targets ONLY if we get a confirmed weekly close above 3439 with clean BOS on LTF.
🔸 Weekly Scenarios
🟢 Scenario 1 – Break and Expand
If gold breaks 3439:
Expect clean continuation to 3505 → 3560 → 3610
Best entries come from new OBs on H4/D1 around 3350–3370
Follow momentum — but don’t chase without retrace confirmation
🔻 Scenario 2 – Rejection + Retracement
If price holds below:
Pullback toward 3270 – 3215 expected
EMA21 acts as dynamic support
If selloff gains strength, next demand = 3120 – 3070
🎯 This zone aligns with macro OB + re-entry for long-term bulls.
🔸 Conclusion & Gameplan
Gold is pressing against its final weekly ceiling.
Structure remains bullish, but every sniper knows — at the edge of premium, timing is everything.
✅ Above 3439 → expansion opens to 3505 → 3560 → 3610
🟦 Below 3439 → retracement into 3270 → 3215 → 3070
The best setups will be born from confirmation, not prediction. Let the market decide.
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What would you do if 3439 rejects hard this week?
Comment your plan, tag your sniper level, and let’s stay ahead together 💬
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With clarity, confidence, and perfect timing,
GoldFxMinds 💙
Disclosure: Analysis based on Trade Nation (TradingView) chart feed.
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Disclaimer
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GoldFxMinds | XAUUSD Sniper Plans, Structure-Driven Bias & Execution Clarity
Free: t.me/GoldMindsFX_AI
⭐ VIP ACCESS & Mentorship XAUUSD⭐Telegram t.me/GoldMindsFX_A
Free: t.me/GoldMindsFX_AI
⭐ VIP ACCESS & Mentorship XAUUSD⭐Telegram t.me/GoldMindsFX_A
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.