Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

GOLD (XAUUSD) : Is it the bearish time?!

883
Hello guys!

Key Elements:
  • Internal Trendline (broken): A previously respected trendline is now broken, indicating a potential shift in trend.
  • S&D (Supply & Demand) Zone: Located around the $3,280–$3,300 region.
  • Bearish Rejection Zone: Price attempted to push higher into the $3,360–$3,380 resistance zone but was rejected.
  • Arrow Indicating Bearish Target: Projected move toward $3,245.94.


why:
1. Trendline Break
The internal bullish trendline has been decisively broken, a classic sign of a trend reversal or at least a significant pullback.
After the break, price retested the underside of the trendline, failed to reclaim it, and showed bearish pressure.

2. Supply Zone Rejection
A clear rejection occurred from a supply zone ($3,360–$3,380), evidenced by long wicks and bearish candles.
This confirms the presence of sellers and likely distribution at that level.

3. Volume Profile Insight
The point of control (POC) and high-volume node sit around the $3,245 region, which also aligns with the marked bearish target.
Price is likely to be drawn toward this level as it's a fair value area where previous consolidation occurred.

4. S&D Flip
A previously bullish demand zone (around $3,280) has now become a resistance level, confirming a shift in market sentiment.

🔻 Bearish Scenario:
Target: $3,245.94
Confirmation: Failure to close above $3,360 and continued lower highs suggest bearish continuation.

✅ Confluence Factors Supporting a Move Down:
  • Trendline break and successful retest.
  • Rejection from resistance (supply zone).
  • Lower high formation.
  • Volume profile attraction to a lower value area.
  • Bearish market structure forming.

____________________

📌 Conclusion:
This chart setup suggests a short-term bearish bias for Gold Spot (XAU/USD), with a potential drop toward the $3,245 zone. Traders may consider watching for confirmation via continued bearish price action and potential volume increase on the next leg down.
Trade closed: target reached
Close 80% of it here!

snapshot
Note
#XAUUSD #Gold

The final target was touched!

snapshot

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