๐ MARCH 6 REVIEW: SMART MONEY TRACKING
๐ VERIFIED OHLC DATA
โข Open: 2,899.00
โข High: 2,922.51
โข Low: 2,891.01
โข Close: 2,911.96
๐ Smart Money Playbook โ March 6
โ Step 1: Early session liquidity grab below 2,900 โ Institutional order absorption confirmed.
โ Step 2: Aggressive buying at 2,891 โ Delta imbalance signals institutional fills.
โ Step 3: Price expansion to 2,922 โ Liquidity magnet reached; stop hunts above 2,920 confirmed.
โ Step 4: Closing near 2,912 โ Holding above VPOC suggests continuation bias.
๐ KEY INSTITUTIONAL TAKEAWAYS:
โข VPOC Shift Higher (2,912.05) โ Institutions accumulating at a higher level, signaling bullish continuation.
โข Retail Traders Trapped Below 2,900 โ Market Maker Buy Model Activated.
โข High Volume at Close โ Smart Money may engineer a liquidity trap before directional commitment.
โธป
๐ MARCH 7, 2025 โ LIVE MARKET STRUCTURE
๐ Current Price Action Levels & Institutional Zones
๐ Volume Profile Levels:
โข VPOC (Value Point of Control): 2,912.05
โข Liquidity High: 2,914.74
โข Liquidity Low: 2,891.01
โข Resistance: 2,914.74
โข Support: 2,907.70
๐ Volume Delta Readings (Aggressive Buyers & Sellers):
โข Bullish Accumulation Zone: 2,904 โ 2,907
โข Institutional Resistance Zone: 2,914 โ 2,918
โข Key Market Maker Decision Point: 2,911
โธป
๐ NON-FARM PAYROLL (NFP) RELEASE โ MARCH 7, 2025
๐ NFP Forecast & Expected Market Impact
โข Expected Job Growth: +158,000
โข Unemployment Rate: 4.0% (Forecasted Stable)
โข Release Time: 8:30 AM EST | 1:30 PM UTC (BLS.gov)
๐ Market Scenarios:
โข Stronger-than-expected NFP (+180K or more): USD strengthens โ XAUUSD pressured downward.
โข Weaker-than-expected NFP (<140K): USD weakens โ XAUUSD bullish expansion.
๐ Key Smart Money Reaction Levels Post-NFP:
โข Break Above 2,914 โ Bullish expansion target: 2,925-2,930.
โข Break Below 2,904 โ Downside acceleration to 2,890-2,885 liquidity zone.
โธป
๐ SEQUENTIAL TRADE EXECUTION: SESSION-BY-SESSION STRATEGY
๐ก Institutions structure their trading around session liquidity handovers. Below is the optimal execution roadmap for XAUMO traders.
1๏ธโฃ ASIAN SESSION (12:00 AM โ 9:00 AM UTC)
๐ Characteristics: Lower liquidity, algorithmic positioning, and passive accumulation.
๐ Strategy:
โข Range-bound trading expected between 2,907 โ 2,914.
โข Smart Money Accumulation Zone: 2,905 โ 2,907 (High probability for pre-EU rally).
โข Watch for institutional footprints at liquidity zones before trend direction confirmation.
2๏ธโฃ PRE-NYC SESSION (11:30 AM โ 1:30 PM UTC)
๐ Characteristics: European market liquidity transfer, Smart Money rebalancing ahead of NYC.
๐ Strategy:
โข Volatility expansion likely before NFP.
โข Look for premium entries at institutional buy zones: 2,907 โ 2,909.
โข Confirm delta absorption before entering long/short.
โข Be cautious of stop-hunting fakeouts before the major news event.
3๏ธโฃ NYC OVERLAP SESSION (1:30 PM โ 4:00 PM UTC)
๐ Characteristics: Maximum institutional activity, high liquidity movements, market maker stop hunts.
๐ Strategy:
โข Post-NFP Trend Confirmation: If price holds above 2,914 post-release, bullish expansion likely.
โข Rejection at 2,914 with aggressive selling delta โ Short setup towards 2,900.
โข Monitor VPOC shifts on footprint charts to confirm institutional positioning.
4๏ธโฃ FULL NYC SESSION (1:30 PM โ 9:00 PM UTC)
๐ Characteristics: Continuation moves, market digestion of NFP data.
๐ Strategy:
โข Trend continuation trades should align with VWAP and delta volume confirmations.
โข Possible fakeouts early in the session โ Follow Smart Money footprints for real direction.
โธป
๐ XAUMO STRATEGY EXECUTION
๐ WATCH PRICE AT LIQUIDITY POOLS BEFORE TAKING A TRADE.
๐ FOLLOW VOLUME CONFIRMATION & SMART MONEY MOVEMENT.
๐ TRADE WITH SMART MONEY, NOT AGAINST IT.
๐ฅ XAUMO Algorithm Alignment Confirmed โ Execute Accordingly.
โธป
๐ MULTIPLE SCENARIOS โ SMART MONEY GAMEPLAN
๐ต SCENARIO 1: Bullish Expansion (Trend Continuation)
๐ Trigger:
โข Breakout & Hold Above 2,914 with Volume Acceleration.
โข VWAP Support Holding Strong at 2,911-2,912.
๐ ENTRY:
โ Buy on 2,911-2,914 retest (VPOC Hold).
โ Confirmation: VWAP Bounce & Delta Strength Above 60%.
๐ TARGETS:
โ TP1: 2,925 (Liquidity Grab Above Highs).
โ TP2: 2,935-2,940 (Institutional Expansion Zone).
โ TP3: 2,950 (Final Market Maker Target Before Reversal).
๐ด SCENARIO 2: Rejection & Smart Money Trap
๐ Trigger:
โข No Demand (ND) at 2,914-2,918.
โข Break of VWAP Support at 2,911.
๐ ENTRY:
โ Short Below 2,911 Breakdown Confirmation.
โ Aggressive Sell Delta Surpassing 65%.
๐ TARGETS:
โ TP1: 2,905 (First Institutional Retest).
โ TP2: 2,890-2,895 (Market Maker Buy Zone).
โ TP3: 2,880 (Extreme Liquidity Pool).
๐ SCENARIO 3: Liquidity Grab & Reversal (Market Maker Trap)
๐ Trigger:
โข Price Breaks Below 2,905 but Holds Above 2,890.
โข VWAP Quickly Reclaimed After Stop Run.
๐ ENTRY:
โ Buy at 2,891-2,905 on Strong Delta Shift.
โ Confirmation: Institutional Volume Absorption.
๐ TARGETS:
โ TP1: 2,911 (VPOC Reversion).
โ TP2: 2,920-2,925 (Smart Money Target).
โ TP3: 2,935 (Liquidity Squeeze).
โธป
๐ FINAL REMARKS
๐ TRADE WITH SMART MONEY โ FOLLOW XAUMO STRATEGY PRECISION.
๐ NFP Volatility Alert: Expect heightened market reaction; wait for institutional commitment.
๐ Session Transitions Critical: Align execution with liquidity cycles.
๐ Volume Confirmation Required: Only act when market footprint confirms directional intent.
๐ XAUMO TRADERS, STAY SHARP. INSTITUTIONS ARE AT PLAY! ๐ฅ
Mohamed
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Mohamed
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.