XAU/USD 21 May 2024 Intraday Analysis

H4 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Price has printed a bullish BOS.

After bullish BOS, expectation is for price to pullback.

I previously commented that price to continue bullish and react at nested Daily and H4 supply levels, which price did.

However, price has continued bullish creating all-time-highs.

Price is showing very early signs of pullback, however, as yet we have no indication or confirmation.

First indication, but not confirmation, would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH. The CHoCH line is denoted with a blue doted line.

Intraday expectation: Scenario one: Price to continue bullish, create new high which would bring CHoCH closer to recent price action.

Scenario two: As mentioned above, price is showing very early signs of pullback, however, as yet, we have no indication or confirmation, therefore, price to continue bearish, print bearish CHoCH to indicate pullback initiation. Price to then react at either discount of 50% EQ or H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high.

H4 Chart: snapshot

M15 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.

Price has printed a bearish iBOS (Internal break of structure).

After iBOS price is expected to pull back.

First indication, but not confirmation of pullback initiation is for price to print a bullish CHoCH. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line.

Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish. React at either premium of 50% EQ or M15 POI both of which are positioned closely before targeting weak internal low which is denoted with a blue dashed line.

M15 Chart: snapshot

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