Gold, Platinum Outlook – Gold Eyes Breakout as Dollar Weakens

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- Gold is gaining momentum and approaching a major breakout level near $3,350, supported by a weakening U.S. dollar, rising Treasury yields, and renewed safe-haven demand. A recent U.S. credit downgrade, driven by fiscal concerns, has added pressure on the dollar and boosted interest in hard assets like gold.

- After reclaiming its 20-day moving average, gold climbed to $3,321, showing improving bullish strength. This area is a key confluence of resistance, including the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and intersecting trendlines. A sustained move above $3,375 would confirm a breakout, likely targeting $3,435 and possibly retesting the all-time high near $3,500.

However, if gold fails to hold above $3,375 and reverses, it could signal a false breakout. In that case, the downside scenario comes into play. Initial support sits around $3,277, and a break below that could see prices drop toward $3,184 (around the 50-day MA). If selling pressure intensifies, the next key level to watch is $3,121, the monthly low and a critical line for maintaining the broader bullish trend.

- Silver is also riding bullish momentum, reclaiming its 50-day moving average at $32.80 and testing resistance at $33.70. A breakout could drive prices toward $34.87, fueled by inflation fears and broad dollar weakness.

- Platinum has surged to a one-year high at $1,075.59, driven by tight supply and a spike in Chinese imports. With no immediate resistance, it is poised to challenge $1,100, supported by strong fundamentals and technicals.

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