Gold is in a clear institutional buying wave. Any pullback to 3,020 is a buying opportunity. The level 3,057 is the key to breaking higher toward 3,128. Below 2,979, the entire picture reverses.
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Overall Trend: Strong Bullish (across all timeframes)
• Institutional buyers are fully in control from levels 2,979 – 3,020
• Weekly and monthly VWAPs are below current price = market is trading in a “premium zone”
• Momentum (RSI & DI+) is very strong but in overbought territory, which may cause short-term pullbacks
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Critical Zones (Locked Levels)
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Scenarios
Likely Bullish Scenario:
As long as price stays above 3,020 – 3,024
→ Targets: 3,047 → 3,057 → 3,079 → 3,128
Conditional Bearish Scenario:
A clear and confirmed break below 3,013
→ Drop toward 2,979 to retest the monthly fair value
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Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Recommendation for Monday – Based on Multi-Timeframe FVPR Analysis
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Buy Setup – Monday, March 24, 2025
Entry:
3,020 – 3,024 (Fair Value Zone + VWAP + POC)
Stop Loss (SL):
2,999 (Below institutional support + structural invalidation)
Take Profit Targets (TP):
• TP1: 3,036 (Initial intraday supply)
• TP2: 3,057 (Previous high + liquidity pocket)
• TP3: 3,079 – 3,128 (Fibonacci extension + quarterly target)
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Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RR):
R:R ≈ 1:3 to 1:4.5 — Low risk, high probability setup based on alignment across monthly, weekly, and daily charts
Note:
Stay above 3,020 = bullish scenario valid.
Break below 2,999 = immediate trade invalidation.
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Bearish Reversal Scenario (If Trend Breaks)
Signal:
Clear break and hold below 2,999
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Sell Setup – If Reversal Confirmed
Entry:
2,993 – 2,999 (Retest of broken support as resistance)
Stop Loss (SL):
3,020 (Back above fair value = setup invalid)
Take Profit Targets (TP):
• TP1: 2,979 (Monthly VWAP)
• TP2: 2,961 (OB demand zone)
• TP3: 2,944 – 2,915 (Quarterly demand + value zone)
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Technical Logic
• A break below 2,999 indicates institutional distribution
• Loss of VWAP + volume drop = fair value rejection
• Market will likely target untouched demand zones in prior lows
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Alternate Strategy Summary
If price > 3,020 Buy → Targets: 3,057 – 3,128
If price < 2,999 Sell → Targets: 2,961 – 2,915
Mohamed
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Mohamed
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.